Addressing Our Looming Climate Bankruptcy
In the wake of the economic crash of 2008, the resilience of millions of Americans’ personal finances collapsed in the face of unexpected stresses — loss of a job, collapse of a home’s value, decline in stock prices, or a medical emergency. Personal bankruptcy filings accelerated from just under 600,000 in 2006 to over 1.5 million in 2010.
Sometimes the stresses piled on one another, as when the loss of a job deprived a family of medical insurance and then a medical emergency hit. The financial woes that led to the wave of bankruptcies took most of us by surprise, even though iconoclasts in the banking industry had been warning of looming disaster for months or even years. And in the wake of the bankruptcies came a wave of homelessness, suffering and anxiety.
In just the same way we were warned of the subprime mortgage bubble, we have been warned of climate change’s looming impact. And this summer is driving home the need to be concerned about looming climate bankruptcy.
Just as unsustainable debts and freewheeling lending practices reduced the resilience of personal and national financial systems, so our mounting climate debt is warming the earth and reducing the resilience of our food, water and social systems. Much like an overdrawn bank account, we are rapidly depleting the carbon storehouses of our forests, and the deposits of coal and fossil fuels underground. By releasing all this carbon dioxide into the air, we are tipping the atmosphere’s balance sheets into the red — too much carbon in the atmosphere for our forests and oceans to absorb it all. The more CO2 we pump into the atmosphere, the further in debt we go, and the more sacrifice we’ll need to make to balance our carbon budget in the future.
And this summer the impacts of our mounting climate debt became clear. July was the hottest month ever in U.S. history (3.3°F above the 20th century average). Drought has reduced water levels in soils and rivers across much of the country, and spectacular and unprecedented heat has evaporated what little water is available, baking our soils and forests. With the natural resilience of our forests and watersheds reduced, climate bankruptcy hits home, yielding charred homes from fires in Colorado; suffering in stifling, power-less homes across the East; and reduced yields in the parched breadbasket of the Midwest.
We have been told that climate change is coming and will have big impacts. But this summer has made many Americans wonder if it isn’t here now. And new research from NASA scientists shows they’re right: climate change is likely responsible for the destructive heat waves we have experienced over the past decade.
And extreme temperatures are occurring faster than scientists anticipated. Extremely hot summers — warmer than virtually ever occurred during a base period of 1951-1980 — have occurred across more than 10% of the world’s lands during the past several years. Extremely hot temperatures are more than 10 times more likely to occur now than 50 years ago.
You have likely felt the heat this year — which has broken tens of thousands of heat records across the U.S. But do you also recall the heat wave in Texas and Oklahoma just last year that killed 100,000 cattle and 500 million trees? The Russian heat wave two years ago that killed 56,000 people? The European heat wave in 2003 that killed [at least 35,000] people? The new research shows that this is not just year-to-year variation in weather, but almost certainly due to global climate change causing warmer temperatures.
These heat waves have major impacts for people. Hot temperatures were a cause of the terrible wildfires that ravaged Colorado and New Mexico this year and destroyed hundreds of homes. Hot temperatures exacerbate drought conditions and are contributing to the crop failures we see across the Midwest, with rising prices in the grocery store certain to follow.
And hot temperatures have direct health impacts for people — more than 60 people died in the US earlier this year from the heat. A new article in the Stanford Social Innovation Review notes that the 2006 heat wave in California killed 138 people, more than died in the Loma Prieta and Northridge earthquakes combined.
Nor is heat the only climate extreme we need to worry about. This year has also featured record-setting flooding in Maine, Minnesota, and Florida. A report in late July from Environment America documented a 30% increase in the frequency of extremely heavy rains since 1948, confirming findings from many other studies, and giving truth to the old saying, “when it rains, it pours.”
The recent heat waves show it’s time to start looking closely at our climate credit card bill, and quit building our debt. We need to take action now, before climate bankruptcy takes our homes and livelihoods.
And we can do it! We can reign in our climate debt by using our knowledge and our science to cut carbon emissions and at the same time help people prepare for climate impacts. Nature conservation can help us do both: forests absorb carbon dioxide, and green infrastructure can help protect our communities, industry and businesses from climate risk. Preparing for climate impacts right now not only reduces suffering today, but also buys us time to find ways for reducing our carbon emissions. And a study of California’s pace-setting climate laws has shown that we have the technology to reduce our emissions dramatically, without significant damage to our economy.
To start doing your part, visit The Nature Conservancy’s Carbon Footprint Calculator and help tighten our collective belt when it comes to climate debt!
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11 comments on "Addressing Our Looming Climate Bankruptcy"
August 20, 2012 7:55am
Science is too complex for the simple answer group. With this hot year people are starting to believe. Next year when it is cooler, the response will be, "we were deceived, at was all just a hoax." Go back to the graph, its is changing probabilities, not results. It's real, but by the time it is obvious, the graph has moved too far to recover without disaster.
August 20, 2012 1:21am
Good thing Rush told us global warming is a hoax! I am glad I am in the last years of my life, the greed of corporate America is escalating beyond redemption and though the earth will survive, the human race may not. We are already seeing heat/drought related crop failures and it won't take too many years of that coupled with the loss of fresh water replenishing of the Colorado River for Los Angeles and Phoenix to become ghost towns.
August 19, 2012 6:04pm
This article seems correct in its assessment; however, it overlooks the contribution of methane gas to global warming. As I understand it, methane gas is far more potent as a warming agent in our atmosphere, though it won't hang around for centuries the way carbon will.
The frozen tundra in Alaska and Siberia is melting. Not only does it make the ground unstable for existing structures, but it's releasing a lot of methane gas. And one of the biggest sources of methane in the world is the huge concentrations of livestock, primarily cattle, being raised for human consumption. Cattle are ruminants and their stomachs produce a lot of methane that is emitted into the air through belching and farting, believe it or not. And then, all their manure simply releases a lot more. And then you have to think, on top of all that direct production of methane, carbon sinks are greatly destroyed (as in Brazil) because forests are cut down or burned so that grain can be grown for feeding cattle, or for pasturing of same. So that's a big double whammy, I guess.
So if we don't become vegetarians, the least we could do is limit our consumption of beef to 2 or 3 times a week. If we ignore the problem of meat consumption, most of our "green" actions may not be very helpful, and we should confront that fact.
August 19, 2012 4:28pm
And I bet you, the wall street gang is going to make Billions for selling short on the harvest this year??????
WA
August 19, 2012 2:58pm
Jeffrey Hill is correct, the planet is dying! And, the solution for mankind to do is to adopt Solar! Yup, but the current world rulers in Los Angeles (1% anyone?) are stalling, failing to inform their loyal television viewers of Solar Panels, they just leave Solar off the screen! Yes, and half the problem is automobiles emitting CO2, ergo: Solar Cars! Yup, never mentioned in the media (WHY NOT?), Solar powered cars is half the solution to the current dying of the world, and I happen to have some scale model toy cars that run on Sun power, yup, and the panels lay flat so MY solar model cars run in any direction, some of them with remote control intact. Do it yourself, get a little toy electric car, and google "small solar panels" to locate the few suppliers of these, tape the panels on top of the car and wire the leads to the battery pack (remove the batteries first), this is what Hollywood fears the most! They prove that Solar can work and will save us from CO2! (there are full sized Solar cars now running the roads to prove it, but they are kept off the picture so as not to alert the public of their existence, theatre-SECRETS, anyone?)
August 19, 2012 2:53pm
...and what do they, the less than 1%, think they're going to do once they've wrecked the Earth to such an extent that it can't support life anymore? Hide in multibillion dollar biobubbles from the masses of refugees coming to tear their throats out? Flee in spaceships? What? WHAT?!
August 19, 2012 12:20pm
The article missed one of the biggest issues- ocean acidification an rise. What will happen to NY subways and all other port cities in the world in this century? And what investment (and debt?) will be required to cope?
August 19, 2012 10:44am
The article is correct in every aspect. Some of the most agregious activities are happening with no comment in the media and no public awareness. In Alberta, Canada the mining of Tar Sands expands daily. Unlike oil drilling, this material is mined like open pit coal mines. Dug up with huge clam shovels, trucked off to be heated and flushed with water to extract the tar which is later refined into petrolium products. Left behind are destroyed forest lands of northen Canada, the second largest carbon sink on the planet. But what we hear are calls to build the Keystone XL pipeline to transport this junk while others gripe about deep drilling processes used in shale deposits throughout the US. With few exceptions, these shale deposits lie almost 2 miles below the surface and below the rock capstone so that Fracking procedures do not effect ground water. Even worse, we are now informed that Chevron will be permitted to drill in the Arctic Sea and the ANWAR for oil. It is no longer a question of grasping the threat of CO2 buildup, the true threat is the increasing influence of major corporations on government policy makers. There is enough natural gas in the ground here in the US to supply our energy needs for 100 years. This gives us the space to develop economical green energy sources while reducing our dependance upon fossil fuels. But so long as big oil gets to call the shots and set policy, it won't happen. Unlike a financial crisis, we can't reverse these effects within a few years. It will be, more or less, the new normal. We have no idea just how bad it might get.
Harker Heights, Texas
August 19, 2012 10:37am
There are over 7 billion people on this planet and taxing just 300 million of them in a way that creates billions of dollars of profit in the energy derivatives market for Goldman Sachs is not going to help. As long as global corporations are willing to overlook long term problems for short term profits nothing will change. People have already made up their minds whether climate change is real or not so it is time to start putting those research funds into figuring out how mankind is going to cope with climate change.
August 19, 2012 11:30am
Taxing the most egregious billion and judicious use of the guillotine might work though...
Seriously, there's no "coping" with what's coming on the new Eaarth...
August 19, 2012 10:01am
Burn, baby, burn!
The planet is dying, and conservative programmable idiots are impervious to the Facts about and TRUTH of mankind's impact on global warming/climate change and how it threatens all of life on Earth.