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Dean Baker
Published: Tuesday 17 July 2012
“At the time the TARP bailout was being debated in the fall of 2008 many progressive members of Congress wanted to have a provision that would at least temporarily alter bankruptcy law to allow judges to rewrite the terms of a mortgage.”

California Gold Rush? Righting Underwater Mortgages

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Ever since the housing bubble collapsed, the Federal government has refused to take major initiatives to help underwater homeowners. As a result, we are likely to see close to 1 million foreclosures both this year and next, with the numbers only gradually slipping back to normal levels by the end of the decade.

The inaction cannot be attributed to a lack of opportunity. At the time the TARP bailout was being debated in the fall of 2008 many progressive members of Congress wanted to have a provision that would at least temporarily alter bankruptcy law to allow judges to rewrite the terms of a mortgage.

Under current law, home mortgages are treated differently than any other type of debt. Bankruptcy judges are prohibited from altering the terms of a mortgage in anyway. If a homeowner cannot meet the terms of the mortgage, they lose the house. Congress could have allowed bankruptcy judges to rewrite mortgages that were written during the housing bubble frenzy, but it backed away from this opportunity.

Similarly, Congress could have temporarily changed the rules on foreclosure to allow foreclosed homeowners to stay in their homes for a substantial period of time (e.g. five years) as renters paying the market rent. This would have assured underwater homeowners substantial housing security.    

Either of these measures would have radically altered the relationship between investors and homeowners. They would have given homeowners a serious weapon that they could use to threaten lenders and hopefully persuade them to agree to modify underwater mortgages. However since Congress did not take any action to shore up the position of homeowners, we are still sitting here with more than 11 million homeowners underwater five years after house prices began their plunge. 

This failure at the national level provides the backdrop for a plan by a group of investors, Mortgage Resolution Partners (MRP), to try to get through some of the morass in the housing market. MRP has been working with public officials in San Bernardino, California, to arrange to use the government’s power of eminent domain to condemn underwater mortgages.

As background, San Bernardino is ground zero in the housing bubble. Prices doubled or even tripled in the bubble years. They then plunged when the bubble burst, with prices now often less than half of their 2006 peaks. Half of the mortgages in the county are underwater. 

This collapse has not only destroyed the life savings of hundreds of thousands of homeowners, it also has wrecked the economy of the region.  In this context, the prospect of using the power to condemn property to bring many underwater homeowners back above water must sound very appealing.

MRP’s plan is to have the county condemn underwater mortgages in private mortgage pools. The logic is that these underwater mortgages are causing serious harm to the community. When people are seriously underwater in their homes they are likely to lack both the means and the incentive to properly maintain their home. Of course the monthly payment on a mortgage that might exceed the current value of a home by 50 percent or more (and carry a high interest rate) is a huge drain on the purchasing power of homeowners.

The case for focusing on mortgages in private mortgage pools is that it is generally quite difficult to sell these mortgages out of the pool. This means that even if in principle it might be advantageous for both the investors and the homeowners to have pools sell underwater mortgages to third parties like MRP who would rewrite the terms, the rules of the mortgage pools makes it unlikely that the mortgage will be sold.

This is exactly the sort of situation where public action like condemnation is appropriate. The public action allows for a solution that can benefit all the parties but is obstructed by bureaucratic rules that were written to cover a different set of circumstances. (It is important to remember that investors can contest in court the compensation they are provided for condemned mortgages to ensure that they get fair market value.)

It is difficult to see a good argument against this approach. Some have claimed that this sort of tactic will cause lenders to be more reluctant to lend in the future. If the point is that lenders may have second thoughts the next time house prices go into a bubble, then we should certainly hope that condemnation will have this effect.

Others have been critical because MRP is a private company that is doing this to make a profit. I’ve met with several of the top people at MRP, they certainly don’t hide the fact that they expect to make money on this deal. But that hardly seems a reason for nixing the plan. There are very few instances where there has been a public condemnation in which private firms didn’t stand to profit in some way.

MRP’s plan is not going to rescue the country’s underwater homeowners. At best it will directly help the limited segment of this group whose mortgages are in private label securities. However it may serve as an example of the benefits of principal write-downs and perhaps prod Fannie and Freddie, as well as the banks, to be more willing to go this route.



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ABOUT Dean Baker
Dean Baker is co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research in Washington, D.C. He previously worked as a senior economist at the Economic Policy Institute and an assistant professor at Bucknell University. He is the author of several books, including Plunder & Blunder: The Rise and Fall of the Bubble Economy, The Conservative Nanny State: How the Wealthy Use the Government to Stay Rich and Get Richer and The United States Since 1980. He was the editor of Getting Prices Right: The Debate Over the Consumer Price Index, which was a winner of a Choice Book Award as one of the outstanding academic books of the year. He appears frequently on TV and radio programs, including CNN, CBS News, PBS NewsHour, and National Public Radio. His blog, Beat the Press, features commentary on economic reporting. He received his B.A. from Swarthmore College and his Ph.D. in economics from the University of Michigan.

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6 comments on "California Gold Rush? Righting Underwater Mortgages"

Scott Ashley

July 17, 2012 6:26pm

The bubble had to be a deliberate act by the mortgage and real estate industry. They rode it all the way and those with knowledge of the housing market had to see it coming. Greedy greedy greedy and they got away with it.

mamabashums

July 17, 2012 5:33pm

What is now the law and what should be the law is determined by the rich isnt it. Contracts are part of free enterprise but the only way we can afford to save social security, medicare, and insure a future for our children without stepping on the feet of the rich is to take property under eminent domain and also let underwater mortgages sell their home using a raffle system. This would satisfy the cities woeful budget, pay the states backtaxes
and earn enough money to alleviate our national debt real estate in the united states is one thing the chinese cant reproduce or do cheaper. Not only should the housing be raffled off so should automobiles and any house that wants to be sold not just underwater. For to long has the wealty had such priveledge of buying autos at the auction or sucking off the misery of a foreclosed property. If you want to equalize some small portion of our society allowing homeownership is a strong way of bringing back prosperity to our country as more taxes will be fought without any results so where else are we going to get the funds to make us competive again. Real estate is a good source of income for our countries debt and enables common peasants to own. Remember when Bush was in office he said my administration can boast that homeownership is at an all time high and the economy was doing well. Come on bankers you have had your day just go away nobody wants you anymore we just have to tolierate you.

Joe Specht

July 17, 2012 3:22pm

The most glaring problem with this arrangement is that it is based on a governmental entity sticking its nose into private contracts and well-established legal procedures. Someone signs a promissory note and mortgage. They default. The bank seeks partial recovery by foreclosing on the collateral. End of story. All in accordance with established contractual and foreclosure law.

With whose money do you propose to pay the mortgage holders—remember the homeowner no longer has any equity in the property? And how do you decide how much to pay the mortgage holder? Paying it too much will mean once again that the general taxpayer is subsidizing stupid lending decisions. Paying it too little will mean that governmental power is prohibiting the lender from realizing whatever partial recovery can be made by exercising legitimate contractual rights.

This is another ill-conceived scheme that purports to act “for the good of the community”, but moves further away from letting the free market sort things out.

Free Market Underdog

G.E.R.R.Y.

July 19, 2012 4:48am

"but moves further away from letting the free market sort things out."

The definition of "insanity" is doing the same thing over and over and over again and expecting a different outcome. "The free market" cannot sort things out. That's why America is where it is financially. Change your thinking or continue (speed up?) the decline!

mamabashums

July 17, 2012 6:00pm

By the way the banks didnot mind getting the bailout funds, the unemployed did not complain to my knowledge not one person has about getting extended benifits. The gm auto did not complain when they got theirs. So when do average people get any help as most underwater mortgages were not caused by current homeowners or the people that have lost their homes already mostly minorities will probally not get another chance to get in again. I guess its okay to let the banks get away with it all by allowing new accounts without any form of proof of citizenship or helping drugies or terroristds or rigging the libor and getting paid from insurance and foreclosing. WHERE DO WE SET THINGS RIGHT THIS IS A GOOD PLACE TO START.

woetopoe

July 17, 2012 3:21pm

As Baker implies, if Congress fails to act, and the bailed out banks are simply to short-sighted and avaricious to act, then solutions like these, however imperfect, are bound to be attractive to underwater homeowners. If our broken and largely dysfunctional government can justify spending outrageous sums of tax payer money on empire's existential threats, then surely it can and should do something to protect its own citizens from predatory threats from within.