Education Replaces Housing as the Bubble Machine
A modern knowledge economy thrives on highly trained workers. The way to get them, obviously, is through education — from basic reading skills for some, to mastery of algorithms for others. It thus would seem a basic public good to provide that learning at little or no cost to students, which most advanced countries do. But America has turned post-high-school education into a taxpayer-subsidized business — a business not unlike real estate at the height of the housing bubble.
Think Americans owe a bundle on their credit card balances? They have $693 billion on their plastic, while they owe over $1 trillion on student loans, according to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.
Think health costs are out of control? They rose only 150 percent from 1990 through 2011. During that period, the cost of attending a four-year college (not including room and board) soared 300 percent.
There is clearly a disconnect between Americans' stagnating incomes and the rising costs of educating their children. The education bubble will have to burst. Online courses may supply the hatpin.
For example, venture capitalists are putting millions into Coursera, a company that provides online college courses for free. Founded by two Stanford University professors, Coursera offers classes taught by professors from Stanford, University of California, University of Michigan, University of Pennsylvania and Princeton. Other startups, such as Minerva and Udemy, are offering similar high-quality education experiences, though generally not for college credit.
Where is the payoff for investors? Through extras that the students may want to buy.
As in the music business, we see an unbundling of product. Rather than buy an entire CD, fans can download this song from artist A and that song from artist B. Likewise, students wanting a solid college education could take this course given at MIT and that course at UMich.
Best of all, they wouldn't have to cough up the average $119,400 for tuition and fees (many are way higher) needed to spend four years at a private university that sinks millions into presidents' salaries, profs who don't teach and charming retreats abroad.
Could this model of learning work for high-school grads wanting a trade? Many for-profit technical schools aggressively advertise to suck high-school grads into questionable courses for which the students take on unconscionable debt. Up to half of all student loans that go under are held by their dropouts and graduates. (The big players include ITT Educational Services and the University of Phoenix.)
But from the Ivy League on down, postsecondary education feeds off government grants and taxpayer-backed loans. Economists point to these subsidies as an excuse to raise prices. Meanwhile, the lenders, whether government or private student-loan companies, employ famously brutal techniques to collect.
And what's this doing to our economy? It's creating a mass of young people sagging under monstrous debt burdens. They are unable to buy a house, much less start a business. If failure to pay back student loans ruins their credit rating, they can't borrow for anything.
As Mark Zandi of Moody's Analytics put, "We are creating a zombie generation of young people larded with debt, and, in many cases, dropouts without any diploma."
This should sound familiar: Like risky mortgages, risky private student loans have been packaged into securities that are sold to the public. Concerns are growing that a pileup of student-loan defaults could imperil these investments.
Yes, it's like the housing bubble all over again. And in its quest to help students obtain education from private sellers, the government has helped spike their price. Either the federal government will change the game or online educators will. Both should be giving it a try.
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7 comments on "Education Replaces Housing as the Bubble Machine"
November 21, 2012 6:05am
Today the value of the education has been increased. Every people has to become educated.
July 12, 2012 4:34pm
A system running on empty and institutionalizing dysfunction.
April 30, 2012 1:19am
I'm glad I went to college after the military, many moons ago, for the sake of knowledge. Many went with the hopes of more money. Since all the jobs worth having seem to have been shipped out, many of those people's hopes of a better life have evaporated. If I were of college age today, and wanted a better life, monetarily, I think I would find it heartbreaking to realize that I'd have to sell my soul to the devil, so to speak.
April 25, 2012 1:15pm
Let’s provide for the continued Education of our children to benefit the United States of America.
Written by; Ted-Zee-Man on April 25, 2012
We must always ensure that Education is kept Public and never let it become only private. The biggest "theft" by the 1 percent has been of the primary source of wealth, which is knowledge. Many of the advances that have propelled our high-tech economy in recent decades grew directly out of research programs financed and, often, collaboratively developed, by the federal government and paid for by the taxpayer. Then our Greedy and Corrupt Politicians gave the patents to the "Rich and Powerful Corporations, Companies, Institutions and Organizations."
I would create the following Financial Program to be run and administered by the Federal Government to encourage the continued Education of the students in this country. We need More Scientist and Math Majors. I propose that we use the Financial Funding to encourage students in Middle School and High School to work harder to achieve better Grade Point Averages. In my Program it is done this way:
[1.0] Any High School student who maintains a 4.0 or higher GPA for four years would get his educational loans at a zero interest rate.
[2.0] Any High School student who maintains a 3.5 to 3.9 GPA for four years would get his educational loans at a 0.5% interest rate.
[3.0] Any High School student who maintains a 3.0 to 3.4 GPA for four years would get his educational loans at a 1.0% interest rate.
[4.0] Any High School student who maintains a 2.5 to 2.9 GPA for four years would get his educational loans at a 2.0% interest rate.
[5.0] Any High School student who maintains a 2.0 to 2.4 GPA for four years would get his educational loans at a 3.0% interest rate.
April 26, 2012 7:35am
Hi Theodore,
I agree with you 100%, and I am not trying to be snarky or nitpicky. That said, could you *please* review the rules of capitalization before you post again? (Sorry. I wish there was a "private message" option.) The way you capitalize half your nouns makes it look old-fashioned & out of date, like you're writing in & for the 18th century -- and that makes it easy to dismiss your argument.
April 25, 2012 1:00pm
If we judge societies on how they treat the most vulnerable of their members, the U.S. is certainly doing a horrid job: dispossessing and disposing of our young, rather than investing in them, and in turn in a healthier and more productive future. The government can do many things, including sweat equity types of reciprocity for funding students' higher education.
But caution about online education: which may result in questionable quality, isolated modes of "delivery", and evisceration of mentoring and social interactions that are so key to human learning. While this may seem to be cost effective, eliminating great teachers and the human element are terribly costly in the long run. At the same time, profits and privatization will continue to erode public access and control over education, which is one of the core features of democratic society.
April 25, 2012 12:16pm
Isn't it wonderful to have people brain-washed and making them pay for it? This scam will blow up like nothing we have seen so far. And you cannot put all those students in jail or force them to pay if the elite keep exporting jobs. The duct tape is falling apart everywhere you look closely into the system. Yet the 1% acts like there is nothing wrong (as long as their cash-flow is uninterrupted)!