Finding the Keys to National Prosperity
In many of history’s most successful economic reforms, clever countries have learned from the policy successes of others, adapting them to local conditions. In the long history of economic development, eighteenth-century Britain learned from Holland; early nineteenth-century Prussia learned from Britain and France; mid-nineteenth-century Meiji Japan learned from Germany; post-World War II Europe learned from the United States; and Deng Xiaoping’s China learned from Japan.
Through a process of institutional borrowing and creative adaptation, successful economic institutions and cutting-edge technologies spread around the world, and thereby boost global growth. Today, too, there are some great opportunities for this kind of “policy arbitrage,” if more countries would only take the time to learn from other countries’ successes.
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For example, while many countries are facing a jobs crisis, one part of the capitalist world is doing just fine: northern Europe, including Germany, the Netherlands, and Scandinavia. Germany’s unemployment rate this past summer was around 5.5%, and its youth unemployment rate was around 8% – remarkably low compared with many other high-income economies.
How do northern Europeans do it? All of them use active labor market policies, including flex time, school-to-work apprenticeships (especially Germany), and extensive job training and matching.
Likewise, in an age of chronic budget crises, Germany, Sweden, and Switzerland run near-balanced budgets. All three rely on budget rules that call for cyclically adjusted budget balance. And all three take a basic precaution to keep their entitlement spending under control: a retirement age of at least 65. This keeps costs much lower than in France, and Greece, for example, where the retirement age is 60 or below, and where pension outlays are soaring as a result.
In an age of rising health-care costs, most high-income countries – Canada, the European Union’s Western economies, and Japan – manage to keep their total health-care costs below 12% of GDP, with excellent health outcomes, while the US spends nearly 18% of GDP, yet with decidedly mediocre health outcomes. And, America’s is the only for-profit health system of the entire bunch. A new report by the US Institute of Medicine has found that America’s for-profit system squanders around $750 billion, or 5% of GDP, on waste, fraud, duplication, and bureaucracy.
In an age of soaring oil costs, a few countries have made a real difference in energy efficiency. The OECD countries, on average, use 160 kilograms of oil-equivalent energy for every $1,000 of GDP (measured at purchasing power parity). But, in energy-efficient Switzerland, energy use is just 100 kg per $1,000 of GDP, and in Denmark it is just 110 kg, compared with 190 kg in the US.
In an age of climate change, several countries are demonstrating how to move to a low-carbon economy. On average, the rich countries emit 2.3 kg of CO2 for every kg of oil-equivalent unit of energy. But France emits just 1.4 kg, owing to its enormous success in deploying safe, low-cost nuclear energy.
Sweden, with its hydropower, is even lower, at 0.9 kg. And, while Germany is abandoning domestic production of nuclear energy for political reasons, we can bet that it will nonetheless continue to import electricity from France’s nuclear plants.
In an age of intense technological competition, countries that combine public and private research and development (R&D) financing are outpacing the rest. The US continues to excel, with huge recent breakthroughs in Mars exploration and genomics, though it is now imperiling that excellence through budget cuts. Meanwhile, Sweden and South Korea are now excelling economically on the basis of R&D spending of around 3.5% of GDP, while Israel’s R&D outlays stand at a remarkable 4.7% of GDP.
In an age of rising inequality, at least some countries have narrowed their wealth and income gaps. Brazil is the recent pacesetter, markedly expanding public education and systematically attacking remaining pockets of poverty through targeted transfer programs. As a result, income inequality in Brazil is declining.
And, in an age of pervasive anxiety, Bhutan is asking deep questions about the meaning and nature of happiness itself. In search of a more balanced society that combines economic prosperity, social cohesion, and environmental sustainability, Bhutan famously pursues Gross National Happiness rather than Gross National Product. Many other countries – including the United Kingdom – are now following Bhutan’s lead in surveying their citizenry about life satisfaction.
The countries highest on the ladder of life satisfaction are Denmark, Finland, and Norway. Yet there is hope for those at lower latitudes as well. Tropical Costa Rica also ranks near the top of the happiness league. What we can say is that all of the happiest countries emphasize equality, solidarity, democratic accountability, environmental sustainability, and strong public institutions.
So here is one model economy: German labor-market policies, Swedish pensions, French low-carbon energy, Canadian health care, Swiss energy efficiency, American scientific curiosity, Brazilian anti-poverty programs, and Costa Rican tropical happiness.
Of course, back in the real world, most countries will not achieve such bliss anytime soon. But, by opening our eyes to policy successes abroad, we would surely speed the path to national improvement in countries around the world.
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4 comments on "Finding the Keys to National Prosperity"
September 26, 2012 4:18pm
We need to revise our healthcare based on the smartest models on what is best for the citizens, not the doctors, hospitals, insurance companies or the pharmaceutical companies. Then we need to incentivize personal participation in healthy living.
The problem with the concept of "American exceptionalism" is that it assumes we know better than everyone and therefore can learn from no one.
Since WWII we have been either "a" or "the" world's reserve currency. The good news - we have been able to borrow cheaply and lower inflation rate than we deserved. The bad news - overvalued currency leading to habitual trade deficit and loss of manufacturing to countries with undervalued currency.
Our inability to get government corruption (campaign financing) under control has put our economy at considerable disadvantage and we can only expect "citizens united" to make it worse.
Our failure to invest more in research, infrastructure, education will only put us at greater disadvantage over time. Until 9/11 we at least had the advantage of attracting the world's best and brightest, but now our immigration policy no longer makes them welcome.
Our tax plans no longer redistribute wealth to ensure the robustness of the middle class to the detriment of our economy. We now have wealth concentrated with the resulting problem of economic stagnation, because the velocity of money is inversely proportional to the wealth of its holder.
But most worrying is the movement away from science and facts in favor of beliefs and rumors, often started by people with an economic agenda contrary to the public good.
September 27, 2012 7:25am
For a few alternatives that focus on the complex and adaptive nature of our systems see our book, The Boids and the Bees, where the emphasis is on guiding adaptation rather than analyzing and fixing.
September 26, 2012 12:55pm
The medical industrial complex is one of the biggest problems facing the US. check out my approach to the problems, along with the context.
http://prosperityforri.com/38-studios-and-economic-development-in-rhode-...
September 26, 2012 12:27pm
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton stated on TV the other day that with all the rich people in the world buying the politicians of their respective countries, we are in dire straits all over the world. I believe that we have to get back to the "Good Ol Days", when the rich paid their fair share. There is only so much wealth or money in the country or the world. When less than 1% have 20% of the wealth and earn another 20% of all the income, that puts all the rest of the people in dire straits. Romney says he doesn't care about 47% of the country. This leaves approximately 50% of the population experiencing the belt tightening squeeze that could last for decades or more always getting tighter. I believe in the motto "Tax Em Like 1938". In 1938 we had 33 Tax Brackets that ranged from 4% for all income up to $64,000. (adjusted for inflation) all the way up to 79% for income over $79Million. The politicians of the last 30 years have been bought off slowly but surely, until all the tax laws benefit the 1%. The top marginal rate now is only 35%, which most don't even come close to paying due to all the loop holes. Income is income, no matter if you work by pushing a computer button, telephone, or bust your back digging a ditch. "Tax Em Like 1938", is a good motto. Now lets get together and make these politicians change the laws back to when the rich had to pay their fair share. God Bless the 99%.