Mattea Kramer
Tom Dispatch / Op-Ed
Published: Wednesday 18 July 2012
“Each of these claims has grabbed national attention in a big way, sucking up years’ worth of precious airtime.”

Four Spending Myths that Could Wreck Our World

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We’re at the edge of the cliff of deficit disaster!  National security spending is being, or will soon be, slashed to the bone!  Obamacare will sink the ship of state! 

Each of these claims has grabbed national attention in a big way, sucking up years’ worth of precious airtime. That’s a serious bummer, since each of them is a spending myth of the first order. Let’s pop them, one by one, and move on to the truly urgent business of a nation that is indeed on the edge.

Spending Myth 1:  Today’s deficits have taken us to a historically unprecedented, economically catastrophic place.

This myth has had the effect of binding the hands of elected officials and policymakers at every level of government.  It has also emboldened those who claim that we must cut government spending as quickly, as radically, as deeply as possible.

In fact, we’ve been here before.  In 2009, the federal budget deficit was a whopping 10.1% of the American economy and back in 1943, in the midst of World War II, it was three times that -- 30.3%. This fiscal year the deficit will total around 7.6%. Yes, that is big. But in the Congressional Budget Office’s grimmest projections, that figure will fall to 6.3% next year, and 5.8% in fiscal 2014. In 1983, under President Reagan, the deficit hit 6% of the economy, and by 1998, that had turned into a surplus. So, while projected deficits remain large, they’re neither historically unprecedented, nor insurmountable.

More important still, the size of the deficit is no sign that lawmakers should make immediate deep cuts in spending. In fact, history tells us that such reductions are guaranteed to harm, if not cripple, an economy still teetering at the edge of recession.

A number of leading economists are now busy explaining why the deficit this year actually ought to be a lot larger, not smaller; why there should be more government spending, including aid to state and local governments, which would create new jobs and prevent layoffs in areas like education and law enforcement. Such efforts, working in tandem with slow but positive job growth in the private sector, might indeed mean genuine recovery. Government budget cuts, on the other hand, offset private-sector gains with the huge and depressing effect of public-sector layoffs, and have damaging ripple effects on the rest of the economy as well.

When the economy is healthier, a host of promising options are at hand for lawmakers who want to narrow the gap between spending and tax revenue. For example, loopholes and deductions in the tax code that hand enormous subsidies to wealthy Americans and corporations will cost the Treasury around $1.3 trillion in lost revenue this year alone -- more, that is, than the entire budget deficit. Closing some of them would make great strides toward significant deficit reductions.

Alarmingly, the deficit-reduction fever that’s resulted from this first spending myth has led many Americans to throw their support behind de-investment in domestic priorities like education, research, and infrastructure -- cuts that threaten to undo generations of progress. This is in part the result of myth number two.

Spending Myth 2: Military and other national security spending have already taken their lumps and future budget-cutting efforts will have to take aim at domestic programs instead.

The very idea that military spending has already been deeply cut in service to deficit reduction is not only false, but in the realm of fantasy.  The real story: despite headlines about “slashed” Pentagon spending and “doomsday” plans for more, no actual cuts to the defense budget have yet taken place. In fact, since 2001, to quote former Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates, defense spending has grown like a “gusher.”  The Department of Defense base budget nearly doubled in the space of a decade. Now, the Pentagon is likely to face an exceedingly modest 2.5% budget cut in fiscal 2013, “paring” its budget down to a mere $525 billion -- with possible additional cuts shaving off another $55 billion next year if Congress allows the Budget Control Act, a.k.a. “sequestration,” to take effect.

But don’t hold your breath waiting for that to happen.  It’s likely that lawmakers will, at the last moment, come to an agreement to cancel those extra cuts.  In other words, the notion that our military, which has been experiencing financial boom times even in tough times, has felt significant deficit-slashing pain -- or has even been cut at all -- is the Pentagon equivalent of a unicorn.

What this does mean, however, is that lawmakers heading down the budget-cutting path can find plenty of savings in the enormous defense and national security budgets. Moreover, cuts there would be less harmful to the economy than reductions in domestic spending.

A group of military budget experts, for example, found that cutting many costly and obsolete weapons programs could save billions of dollars each year, and investing that money in domestic priorities like education and health care would spur the economy. That’s because those sectors create more jobs per dollar than military programs do.  And that leads us to myth three.

Spending Myth 3: Government health-insurance programs are more costly than private insurance.

False claims about the higher cost of government health programs have led many people to demand that health-care solutions come from the private sector. Advocates of this have been much aided by the complexity of sorting out health costs, which has provided the necessary smoke and mirrors to camouflage this whopping lie.

Health spending is indeed growing faster than any other part of the federal budget. It’s gone from a measly 7% in 1976 to nearly a quarter today -- and that’s truly a cause for concern. But health care costs, public and private, have been on the rise across the developed world for decades. And cost growth in government programs like Medicare has actually been slower than in private health insurance. That’s because the federal government has important advantages over private insurance companies when it comes to health care. For example, as a huge player in the health-care market, the federal government has been successful at negotiating lower prices than small private insurers can. And that helps us de-bunk myth number four.

Spending Myth 4: The Affordable Care Act -- Obamacare -- will bankrupt the federal government while levying the biggest tax in U.S. history.

Wrong again. According to the Congressional Budget Office, this health-reform legislation will reduce budget deficits by $119 billion between now and 2019.  And only around 1% of American households will end up paying a penalty for lacking health insurance.

While the Affordable Care Act is hardly a panacea for the many problems in U.S. health care, it does at least start to address the pressing issue of rising costs -- and it incorporates some of the best wisdom on how to do so. Health-policy experts have explored phasing out the fee-for-service payment system -- in which doctors are paid for each test and procedure they perform -- in favor of something akin to pay-for-performance. This transition would reward medical professionals for delivering more effective, coordinated, and efficient care -- and save a lot of money by reducing waste.

The Affordable Care Act begins implementing such changes in the Medicare program, and it explores other important cost-containment measures. In other words, it lays the groundwork for potentially far deeper budgetary savings down the road.

Having cleared the landscape of four stubborn spending myths, it should be easier to see straight to the stuff that really matters. Financial hardship facing millions of Americans ought to be our top concern. Between 2007 and 2010, the median family lost nearly 40% of its net worth. Neither steep deficits, nor disagreement over military spending and health reform should eclipse this as our most pressing challenge.

If lawmakers skipped the myth-making and began putting America’s resources into a series of domestic investments that would spur the economy now, their acts would yield dividends for years to come. That means pushing education and job training, plus a host of job-creation measures, to the top of the priority list, and setting aside initiatives based on fear and fantasy.

See Tom Engelhardt's response here.



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ABOUT Mattea Kramer

Mattea Kramer is a research analyst at the National Priorities Project. She co-wrote the soon-to-be-published book A People’s Guide to the Federal Budget, and co-hosts weekly two-minute Budget Brief videos on YouTube.

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9 comments on "Four Spending Myths that Could Wreck Our World "

Rich Nau

July 21, 2012 9:18am

In Africa the profiteers see food relief as an unacceptable threat to their profits. To us stealing and destroying food relief appears as an unimaginable crime against humanity, but people are the same across the world and those same "people" are in leadership here, they just are dealing with different challenges and opportunities, and create and perpetuate myths like these for their profits regardless of the cost to humanity.

majorpayne

July 20, 2012 3:10pm

"WWII spending was on production and jobs, that turned to consumption." The problem is that The Longest War is not over, and it never will be if the U.S. government can find some new enemy. Worse, many people revere the patriotic people in uniform and want to shower them with every benefit possible to encourage recruitment and retention in our mercenary armed forces. Then, when these warriors retire, with no marketable skills, they need enough to live on so that they don't become a drag on society. Nobody seems to know how fast this cost burden ramps up, along with the frightening cost of treating the wounded. The lowest federal tax rates in 30 years don't help, either.

My solution: Ignore all requests for campaign donations and tell everyone why. Also, tell the USO, DAV, American Legion, VFW, and all the rest of the military charities that enough is enough. The military-industrial complex doesn't care about the troops. Tell the MIC we didn't want to send them to war in the first place. No troops, no profits for arms merchants. (Unless they figure out how to automate war, which is happening, by the way, but maybe they will figure out how to turn drones into useful robots for consumers.)

bladtheimpailer

July 18, 2012 7:56pm

Year to year deficits tend to add up and that is the problem, total debt. So what is the total debt of the country, consumer, business, local, state, federal? How does the total debt effect the economy? What happens when this total debt becomes a concern to the lenders? As of now American total debt, expressed as bonds mainly(and other sovereign nations debts) is being propped up by a 100's of trillions derivative market, mainly in interest rate swaps. What happens if this crashes? This is the real secret behind the LIBOR manipulations, to keep bond prices up and prevent a meltdown of world sovereign debts.

The problem is the debt based system originating within our money supply. The government sells bonds with interest due on them so that the banks have reserves to loan out money to government (and the economy) at interest. So the govt. pays interest on bonds to borrow a private banks currency for the economy and public to use all at interest. What a scam! All this when the govt, could just circulate money into the economy and for public use with no interest to pay to no one. This has been done many times in the past, notably by the Lincoln administration during the civil war. This could be done again and the national debt wiped out in just a few years with taxes actually starting to fall. The scam I was referring to is called the fractional reserve system and by it's very nature will drive everyone and entity, like governments, into an increasing debt load at interest all to be paid to private bankers who run the system. It's now way past the time for this system to be revoked. "if you wish to be the slaves of bankers and pay the cost of your own slavery then continue to let bankers control credit and issue money." Sir Josiah Stamp- director of the Bank of England, or Britain's Federal Reserve.

All of the proceeding solutions made in this article only allows us to remain "slaves to bankers" with out addressing the real underlying root of the problem, the fractional reserve banker's system under which we all toil. So when you pay taxes, at the gas pump, store, locally and on up to the Federal government, remember that a huge percentage goes to the bankers because they have a monopoly over our money supply because they actually own the currency and we just borrow the use of it and pay a heavy price to do that.

Ronni85

July 18, 2012 7:53pm

There's a lot of things the Obama campaign needs to do. They don't! Attacking the above myths (LIES) is only a start. However, these "myths" are so firmly entrenched they have become "truth". Do not hold your breath that changes will be made.

oldhat

July 18, 2012 3:02pm

facts 1] national debt is highest [ as % of gdp] since ww2 2] cbo projects that national will be highest ever by 2020

speedemon

July 18, 2012 2:41pm

Hmm,

factually correct, however, Myth 1 is not really a myth, because the WWII spending was on production and jobs, that turned to consumption, hence they walked out of it without even getting winded. Today, all the spending is creating massive savings for a tiny portion of the population, so consumption and tax will never, ever, keep up.

dwdallam

July 18, 2012 2:38pm

This is the stat I love most, because it flies right in the face of ignorant conservatives who believe everything they are fed on Fox news and talk shows like Rush Lie-baugh.

"In 2009, the federal budget deficit was a whopping 10.1% of the American economy and back in 1943, in the midst of World War II, it was three times that -- 30.3%. This fiscal year the deficit will total around 7.6%. Yes, that is big. But in the Congressional Budget Office’s grimmest projections, that figure will fall to 6.3% next year, and 5.8% in fiscal 2014. In 1983, under President Reagan, the deficit hit 6%. . . ."

moreaboutthat

July 18, 2012 12:00pm

The Obama campaign needs to use information like this and help voters to understand. Too many people are buying into Fox News, Hannity, Limbaugh, etc.

Jeffrey Hill

July 18, 2012 11:52am

Those destructive "myths" are deliberate conservative lies intended to trigger major problems.