In Hiroshima’s Shadow
Aug. 6, the anniversary of Hiroshima, should be a day of somber reflection, not only on the terrible events of that day in 1945, but also on what they revealed: that humans, in their dedicated quest to extend their capacities for destruction, had finally found a way to approach the ultimate limit.
This year’s Aug. 6 memorials have special significance. They take place shortly before the 50th anniversary of “the most dangerous moment in human history,” in the words of the historian and John F. Kennedy adviser Arthur M. Schlesinger Jr., referring to the Cuban missile crisis.
Graham Allison writes in the current issue of Foreign Affairs that Kennedy “ordered actions that he knew would increase the risk not only of conventional war but also nuclear war,” with a likelihood of perhaps 50 percent, he believed, an estimate that Allison regards as realistic.
Kennedy declared a high-level nuclear alert that authorized “NATO aircraft with Turkish pilots ... (or others) ... to take off, fly to Moscow, and drop a bomb.”
None were more shocked by the discovery of missiles in Cuba than the men in charge of the similar missiles that the U.S. had secretly deployed in Okinawa six months earlier, surely aimed at China, at a moment of elevated regional tensions.
Kennedy took Chairman Nikita Khrushchev “right to the brink of nuclear war and he looked over the edge and had no stomach for it,” according to Gen. David Burchinal, then a high-ranking official in the Pentagon planning staff. One can hardly count on such sanity forever.
Khrushchev accepted a formula that Kennedy devised, ending the crisis just short of war. The formula’s boldest element, Allison writes, was “a secret sweetener that promised the withdrawal of U.S. missiles from Turkey within six months after the crisis was resolved.” These were obsolete missiles that were being replaced by far more lethal, and invulnerable, Polaris submarines.
In brief, even at high risk of war of unimaginable destruction, it was felt necessary to reinforce the principle that U.S. has the unilateral right to deploy nuclear missiles anywhere, some aimed at China or at the borders of Russia, which had previously placed no missiles outside the USSR. Justifications of course have been offered, but I do not think they withstand analysis.
An accompanying principle is that Cuba had no right to have missiles for defense against what appeared to be an imminent U.S. invasion. The plans for Kennedy’s terrorist programs, Operation Mongoose, called for “open revolt and overthrow of the Communist regime” in October 1962, the month of the missile crisis, recognizing that “final success will require decisive U.S. military intervention.”
The terrorist operations against Cuba are commonly dismissed by U.S. commentators as insignificant CIA shenanigans. The victims, not surprisingly, see matters rather differently. We can at last hear their voices in Keith Bolender’s “Voices from the Other Side: An Oral History of Terrorism Against Cuba.”
The events of October 1962 are widely hailed as Kennedy’s finest hour. Allison offers them as “a guide for how to defuse conflicts, manage great-power relationships, and make sound decisions about foreign policy in general.” In particular, today’s conflicts with Iran and China.
Disaster was perilously close in 1962, and there has been no shortage of dangerous moments since. In 1973, in the last days of the Arab-Israeli war, Henry Kissinger called a high-level nuclear alert. India and Pakistan have come close to nuclear war. There have been innumerable cases when human intervention aborted nuclear attack only moments before launch after false reports by automated systems. There is much to think about on Aug. 6.
Allison joins many others in regarding Iran’s nuclear programs as the most severe current crisis, “an even more complex challenge for American policymakers than the Cuban missile crisis” because of the threat of Israeli bombing.
The war against Iran is already well underway, including assassination of scientists and economic pressures that have reached the level of “undeclared war,” in the judgment of the Iran specialist Gary Sick.
Great pride is taken in the sophisticated cyberwar directed against Iran. The Pentagon regards cyberwar as “an act of war” that authorizes the target “to respond using traditional military force,” The Wall Street Journal reports. With the usual exception: not when the U.S. or an ally is the perpetrator.
The Iran threat has recently been outlined by Gen. Giora Eiland, one of Israel’s top military planners, described as “one of the most ingenious and prolific thinkers the (Israeli military) has ever produced.”
Of the threats he outlines, the most credible is that “any confrontation on our borders will take place under an Iranian nuclear umbrella.” Israel might therefore be constrained in resorting to force. Eiland agrees with the Pentagon and U.S. intelligence, which also regard deterrence as the major threat that Iran poses.
The current escalation of the “undeclared war” against Iran increases the threat of accidental large-scale war. Some of the dangers were illustrated last month when a U.S. naval vessel, part of the huge deployment in the Gulf, fired on a small fishing boat, killing one Indian crew member and wounding at least three others. It would not take much to set off a major war.
One sensible way to avoid such dread consequences is to pursue “the goal of establishing in the Middle East a zone free from weapons of mass destruction and all missiles for their delivery and the objective of a global ban on chemical weapons” – the wording of Security Council resolution 687 of April 1991, which the U.S. and U.K. invoked in their effort to provide a thin legal cover for their invasion of Iraq 12 years later.
The goal has been an Arab-Iranian objective since 1974, regularly re-endorsed, and by now it has near-unanimous global support, at least formally. An international conference to consider ways to implement such a treaty may take place in December.
Progress is unlikely unless there is mass public support in the West. Failure to grasp the opportunity will, once again, lengthen the grim shadow that has darkened the world since that fateful Aug. 6.
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8 comments on "In Hiroshima’s Shadow"
August 06, 2012 6:33pm
As technology improves so does the opportunity to exploit!
August 04, 2012 12:31pm
They continue to build more nuclear weapons in New Mexico, smaller ones that can devastate a smaller target. Is this supposed to be more humane? Those in power are wrapping their claws around all who protest. They have cattle cars with ankle and wrist restraints for transporting to one of the 800 concentration camps in America. Blackwater has been given a budget to operate these camps. People are restless and awakening and will be disappeared.
August 04, 2012 12:26pm
Oh, The Horror of it All!
August 03, 2012 4:29pm
150 Years of USA WAR CRIMES - its Law or Jungle
Every state-nation prohibits nudity seen in public as being obscene – I don’t know if it’s the initial work of European Christian missionaries advancing civilization or what, but still, it stands as one of the most significant global laws of our time with instant 100% identification and enforcement for “offenders”. Its breath taking how it works.
For better or worse it shows what can be done across nations, political spectrums, tribes and cultures – and in my own lifetime. Now days everyone wears lots of cloths.
Yet, weapons of mass destruction are unquestionably way more obscene and it’s universally accepted that they are excessively dangerous, immoral, unwanted, toxic and wasteful. Nudity hardly comes close to the uncivilized character of Weapons of Mass Destruction.
So when I proclaim the banning of WMDs I am convinced that it can be done. This would be the complete eradication of these weapons on the planet (not just in the Middle East zone) – just like public nudity is not tolerated anywhere (not just the Middle East zone).
So why cant we have a no-bomb world like we have a no-public-nudity world?
Maybe the model of manufacture is now so pervasive – if it means work and profit – we are scuttled off in that direction without any will. That would account for the accelerated manufacture of cloths and bombs (done best in work gear and uniforms). And note that this is in parallel with the elimination of tribal sustainability, their creativity and culture, and the destruction of nature (eco-environment upon which life forms fit together).
Or maybe it is just too much of a climb for global “stakeholders” to resist the production and readiness of WMDs while the outrageous shock of Hiroshima and Nagasaki is left un-adjudicated. It allows the barbaric “G” “Security Council” nations unlawful license to bear such arms since fundamental codes such as International Law and the Geneva Convention have been dismissed regarding the attack on these Japanese cities. So while a suspected war criminal nation has nuclear bombs and sits in high places it is hard to expect other countries wanting to protect their independence from keeping pace by acquiring these weapons.
Hiroshima and Nagasaki were the first, and remain the definitive war crimes of their type in modern history. Without a clear account of USA mass human right abuse and genocide here the world will continue to ignore the uncivilized elephant in the room.
The critical case of departure from International Law by the USA happened in 1897 when Hawai`i was illegally seized by President McKinley. This together with the taking of Panama created the outlandish global bully we deal with today. When some 150 years of war crimes by the USA are heard by an independence and fair tribunal the people of the planet may be able to look forward to that future envisaged by our fore parents who came together to establish international law.
August 03, 2012 5:11pm
Nudity is not prohibited in every state nor nation on the planet as incorrectly claimed in this article and, while I do understand the contributors need for an appropriate analogy with which to make his comparison, the choice of an unclothed human body is not quite correct. Carry on!
WA
August 03, 2012 4:17pm
Nuclear weapons are far more horrible than most people imagine. "One nuclear bomb can ruin your whole day!" The hideous burns on thousands or millions of people on the periphery of the blast are just a start (these things burn real, real hot momentarily, evaporating those in the fireball and burning those further away). Then there's the death the human race would face if it were a total nuclear war, radiation sickness. Slowly, the sickness debilitates and then kills, while billions of others would surely get lethal cancers, ask your local hospital how happy cancer patients are! Thank you Mr. Chomsky for noticing August 6th, we live under the shadow of these things, and it's good to be conscious of them and act to reduce them. Then there's Iran. Iran could easily get all it's electricity from Solar Panels, what's going to be the cost to them when Isreal and the US attack them? Surely it's just plain cheaper (much cheaper for Iran) to power a country with Solar. Isreal can abandon nuclear and do the same!
August 03, 2012 1:33pm
So basically, if Iran has atomic weapons, then Israel will have to deal with instead of killeth the Palestinians. Then the whole point of preventing Iran from having atomic weapons is to enable Israel to keep shipping Palestinians off in cattle cars.
August 03, 2012 3:47pm
A dangerous and unecessary show of force since nuclear submarines were already off our shores. It was a pretext for invaion of Cuba discontiued it seem by the fact they already had armed missiles on Cuba.
The Kennedy assassination might have had a similar goal. But what Russia did have was a promise not to invade and Russia also got these old missiles removed from Turkey too boot.
Some History Channel show mentioned some of the nuclear alerts, a time Brzezinski had to awaken Carter over an impendiing attack. At time when a training tape in Cheyenne Mt for a nuclear alert test was inadvertantly triggered unknown to those involve who went into full lockdown and a time when Yeltzin was given 5 minute to initiate attack due to a warning circumstance where he was required to fire and he refused. And here we are worrying about Iran having a the bomb. Meanwhile personnel often have drills where they do not know whether it is real or a test, that would make it easier for them to instigate attack if they don't know that it is real.