Joe Conason
NationofChange / Op-Ed
Published: Tuesday 25 September 2012
“These are people who pay no income tax,” Romney told his well-heeled audience in Boca Raton, suggesting that voters who don't pay income taxes comprise the same alleged 47 percent who will vote in lockstep for the president.

Looking for that ‘47 Percent,’ Mitt? Check Red States and Elderly Republicans

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While Mitt Romney may well wish he had expressed himself more “elegantly” at the swanky Boca Raton fundraiser where he denounced half the voting population as shiftless, government-entitled moochers, he isn't backing away from those secretly recorded remarks — although what he said was entirely inaccurate, as well as obnoxious.

Watching him on video, the Republican nominee sounds not only vulgar and arrogant, but profoundly ignorant about the nation he hopes to govern. “There are 47 percent of the people who will vote for the president no matter what,” said the Republican nominee, who proceeded to describe those people.

“All right, there are 47 percent who are with him, who are dependent upon government ... Those people,” he went on, “believe that they are victims ... believe the government has a responsibility to care for them ... believe that they are entitled to health care, to food, to housing, to you-name-it.”

Let's stop right there: Whatever percentage of Americans plan to vote for the president, there is no plausible evidence that they all think of themselves as entitled to government benefits. Nor is there any evidence that all of Obama's supporters are in fact "dependent on government." And there is plenty of evidence that Romney supporters — Obama supporters and like many Americans who will not vote at all — receive Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, food stamps, unemployment benefits, housing vouchers, veterans benefits and other forms of federal assistance.

The Republican-leaning moochers, as defined by Romney, can easily be found in the red states, which contribute far less in federal taxes than they receive in per capita benefits. Alabama, for instance, receives almost $4,000 per capita in federal spending on retirement and disability, while contributing just over $1,000 per capita in federal income taxes. Kentucky receives upwards of $7,000 per capita in direct benefits, including retirement, disability, student assistance and unemployment, but contributes slightly less per capita than Alabama in federal income taxes.

Roughly the same dispensation exists across much of the old Confederacy, where white voters in lower income brackets will faithfully vote for Romney despite his sneers at them.

Across the red states, generally from Mississippi, Arkansas and South Carolina, to Kentucky, West Virginia, Missouri, Oklahoma, the Dakotas and Alaska, there is a clear pattern. More money flows in from Washington via government spending than goes out to Washington via federal taxes, which belies the incessant whining of their "conservative" elected officials. (The difference is made up in revenues from the blue states — New York, New Jersey, California, Connecticut, Massachusetts and Minnesota, among others — that receive less from Washington than they pay.)

“These are people who pay no income tax,” Romney told his well-heeled audience in Boca Raton, suggesting that voters who don't pay income taxes comprise the same alleged 47 percent who will vote in lockstep for the president.

Leaving aside the significant probability that his listeners included a few of the thousands of millionaires who paid no income taxes last year, there is no reason to believe that voters who don't pay income taxes are certain to vote Democratic. A substantial number of the people who are too poor to pay income taxes, thanks to tax reforms supported by Ronald Reagan, are among the Southern whites inclined to vote for Romney. In 2008, according to the New York Times, 25 percent of voters earning under $15,000 per year and 37 percent of those earning between $15,000 and $30,000 per year voted for John McCain and Sarah Palin.

An even more substantial number are older Americans who rely on Social Security beenfits, Medicare and Medicaid, and who have displayed an increasing tendency to vote Republican in recent elections (until this week, at least). Four years ago, voters over 65 years old supported McCain over Obama by a margin of eight points, and the most recent New York Times survey shows the same group backing Romney this year by a margin of 15 points.

Summing up his erroneous assessments, Romney said, “my job is not to worry about those people. I'll never convince them they should take personal responsibility and care for their lives.” Perhaps that cold remark falls within the category of opinion rather than fact. But does Romney truly believe that a lifelong worker, an impoverished veteran, a struggling student, an elderly widow or any of the millions of Americans in similar straits don't merit the concern of the president of the United States?

That ugly sentiment, an insult to every citizen of this country, would be hard to express more  “elegantly” without the use of a four-letter word.

Copyright Creators.com


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ABOUT Joe Conason

Joe Conason has written his popular political column for The New York Observer since 1992. He served as the Manhattan Weekly’s executive editor from 1992 to 1997. Since 1998, he has also written a column that is among the most widely read features on Salon.com. Conason is also a senior fellow at The Nation Institute.

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3 comments on "Looking for that ‘47 Percent,’ Mitt? Check Red States and Elderly Republicans"

yellowdogdemo

September 26, 2012 9:48pm

Not only that, Pitch, but the red state 47 %ers probably do not KNOW they are on a government program.

kwikcats

September 25, 2012 8:47pm

Truth telling and perspicacity is no longer important; having an instant answer for everything is. Critical thinking is no longer important; logical fallacies repeated often seem to hold sway. Shooting oneself in the foot, as seniors do all the time in elections, seems to be de rigeur now. It's so demoralizing to witness the US morphing increasingly into a banana republic. Voting for a 3rd party candidate is no answer unless one wants another 2000 debacle. Perhaps another election debacle is inevitable no matter who wins. I'm sure that if Romney comes out ahead--no matter how--Obama and the Dems will tuck their tails between their legs just like Gore did. Have we become a laughing stock to the rest of the world?

pitch1934

September 25, 2012 5:18pm

What is most ironic about the truth is that probably most of the 47 percenters who live in the red states do not even realize that willie was throwing these barbs directly at their financial status. They nod their heads in agreement and fail to see that the great hype dope is insulting them. He has said that they are not now and never will be in charge of their lives.