Marching off the Cliff
A task of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, now under way in Durban, South Africa, is to extend earlier policy decisions that were limited in scope and only partially implemented.
These decisions trace back to the U.N. Convention of 1992 and the Kyoto Protocol of 1997, which the U.S. refused to join. The Kyoto Protocol’s first commitment period ends in 2012. A fairly general pre-conference mood was captured by a New York Times headline: “Urgent Issues but Low Expectations.”
As the delegates meet in Durban, a report on newly updated digests of polls by the Council on Foreign Relations and the Program on International Policy Attitudes reveals that “publics around the world and in the United States say their government should give global warming a higher priority and strongly support multilateral action to address it.”
Most U.S. citizens agree, though PIPA clarifies that the percentage “has been declining over the last few years, so that American concern is significantly lower than the global average – 70 percent as compared to 84 percent.”
“Americans do not perceive that there is a scientific consensus on the need for urgent action on climate change â(euro) [ A large majority think that they will be personally affected by climate change eventually, but only a minority thinks that they are being affected now, contrary to views in most other countries. Americans tend to underestimate the level of concern among other Americans.”
These attitudes aren’t accidental. In 2009 the energy industries, backed by business lobbies, launched major campaigns that cast doubt on the near-unanimous consensus of scientists on the severity of the threat of human-induced global warming.
The consensus is only “near-unanimous” because it doesn’t include the many experts who feel that climate-change warnings don’t go far enough, and the marginal group that deny the threat’s validity altogether.
The standard “he says/she says” coverage of the issue keeps to what is called “balance”: the overwhelming majority of scientists on one side, the denialists on the other. The scientists who issue the more dire warnings are largely ignored.
One effect is that scarcely one-third of the U.S. population believes that there is a scientific consensus on the threat of global warming – far less than the global average, and radically inconsistent with the facts.
It’s no secret that the U.S. government is lagging on climate issues. “Publics around the world in recent years have largely disapproved of how the United States is handling the problem of climate change,” according to PIPA. “In general, the United States has been most widely seen as the country having the most negative effect on the world’s environment, followed by China. Germany has received the best ratings.”
To gain perspective on what’s happening in the world, it’s sometimes useful to adopt the stance of intelligent extraterrestrial observers viewing the strange doings on Earth. They would be watching in wonder as the richest and most powerful country in world history now leads the lemmings cheerfully off the cliff.
Last month, the International Energy Agency, which was formed on the initiative of U.S. Secretary of State Henry Kissinger in 1974, issued its latest report on rapidly increasing carbon emissions from fossil fuel use.
The IEA estimated that if the world continues on its present course, the “carbon budget” will be exhausted by 2017. The budget is the quantity of emissions that can keep global warming at the 2 degrees Celsius level considered the limit of safety.
IEA chief economist Fatih Birol said, “The door is closing â(euro) [ if we don’t change direction now on how we use energy, we will end up beyond what scientists tell us is the minimum (for safety). The door will be closed forever.”
Also last month, the U.S. Department of Energy reported the emissions figures for 2010. Emissions “jumped by the biggest amount on record,” The Associated Press reported, meaning that “levels of greenhouse gases are higher than the worst-case scenario” anticipated by the International Panel on Climate Change in 2007.
John Reilly, co-director of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology’s program on climate change, told the AP that scientists have generally found the IPCC predictions to be too conservative – unlike the fringe of denialists who gain public attention. Reilly reported that the IPCC’s worst-case scenario was about in the middle of the MIT scientists’ estimates of likely outcomes.
As these ominous reports were released, the Financial Times devoted a full page to the optimistic expectations that the U.S. might become energy-independent for a century with new technology for extracting North American fossil fuels.
Though projections are uncertain, the Financial Times reports, the U.S. might “leapfrog Saudi Arabia and Russia to become the world’s largest producer of liquid hydrocarbons, counting both crude oil and lighter natural gas liquids.”
In this happy event, the U.S. could expect to retain its global hegemony. Beyond some remarks about local ecological impact, the Financial Times said nothing about what kind of a world would emerge from these exciting prospects. Energy is to burn; the global environment be damned.
Just about every government is taking at least halting steps to do something about the likely impending catastrophe. The U.S. is leading the way – backward. The Republican-dominated U.S. House of Representatives is now dismantling environmental measures introduced by Richard Nixon, in many respects the last liberal president.
This reactionary behavior is one of many indications of the crisis of U.S. democracy in the past generation. The gap between public opinion and public policy has grown to a chasm on central issues of current policy debate such as the deficit and jobs. However, thanks to the propaganda offensive, the gap is less than what it should be on the most serious issue on the international agenda today – arguably in history.
The hypothetical extraterrestrial observers can be pardoned if they conclude that we seem to be infected by some kind of lethal insanity.
© 2011 Noam ChomskyDistributed by The New York Times Syndicate.
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21 comments on "Marching off the Cliff"
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IMHO you've got the right asnewr!
December 08, 2011 10:44am
The weird thing when countries and leaders talk about environment ... they never bring up war and the horrible pollution it creates. I am convinced if we stop warring we'll get this under control in no time.
December 08, 2011 9:38am
A Plan
It’s in chronological order: if we accomplish #1 we can do #2; if we accomplish #2 we can do #3, and so on.
1. Outlaw political contributions to congress and presidents by industry groups (under all their guises).
2. Make health care available to all and make it universal/Single-Payer (e.g. having a social security card means you get high quality efficient health care for life).
3. Stop spending on war. Afghanistan is worse than Iraq. It will never end. It has never ended.
4. Redirect taxes we already pay toward creating the absolute best educational infrastructure on the planet. Pre-K through life.
5. Put OUR tax money to use for science/engineering/math targeted toward quantum changes in our infrastructure and explicit planning to address climate change (transportation, renewable energy, waste mgmt, water supply mgmt)
6. Use the intellectual output from above toward executing projects at ground level (state-of-the-art electricity grid, railways, tunnels, bridges, roads, upgrades to buildings, museums and libraries and Internet accessible to all). These upgrades are desperately needed AND will provide good jobs.
7. Go after the industries that deliver illness to the population and limit their tactics and their access to politicians –AND—TAX their products. The industries include: tobacco, alcohol, firearms, agribusiness, and sugared beverage companies.
We’ve had these industries on our “welfare rolls” long enough.
We can do all this and more with our existing tax money. There is plenty of money it's all a matter of which way it flows. Does it flow to the already rich and powerful or does it flow back to those who paid taxes to start with and who, as citizens, have a right to equal representation and the basic human right to live?
Our species, Homo sapiens, has about 25-30 years within which we can be brave and take truly enlightened action.
December 08, 2011 3:38am
Seems to me that if we acknowledge that global warming is real, and will destroy civilization unless we stop the pollution, and then we actually throw out the economic and political theories which seek to justify the domination and destruction of the earth for profit, and we we begin to value, instead, the path of sustainability, and it turns out down the road, that the situation is nowhere near as bad as it seems, we shall have lost nothing. Rather we shall have avoided a perilous path and set about implementing a sustainable future.
If, on the other hand, we acknowledge that we ourselves have already done irreparable harm to the planet, and then we actually take the necessary steps toward sanity and do something about it, something positive--- to halt and even perhaps reverse the damage already done; and it turns out to be true that the situation is exactly as the community of respected scientists have said, or even worse than anybody suspects, at least we shall have stopped the process of the annihilation of all life on earth. In the process we shall have found a measure of wisdom and begun the long labor of redeeming ourselves, by working out a plan of sustainability and adhering to it. And the planet will continue indefinitely; again we'll have lost nothing and gained the world for ourselves and our children, and our children's children.
If we wait and continue as we have been, whether through apathy, or emotional and psychological paralysis, indulging, as we have been, the decadence of corporations and and their profitable strategies of failure; not to mention the banks, and we continue not to hold them accountable for the fact that their every negative action impacts our lives, negatively; as well as the lives of our children and generations to come, not to mention the welfare of the planet.
Let's cut out the paralyzing courtesies and the adherence to "the rules."
If the phantoms of the one percent insist on wrecking it all, for their narcissistic, fetishistic, fanatical pleasures, then we are compelled to take harsh measures. If the driver is drunk do we let him drive in heavy traffic at night? I hope not. We either leave him by the side of the road or we die having allowed the drunk to kill us. So how long will we allow the drunks to drive:
Destroy all institutions which seek to gratify every consumerist whim.
Absolutely prevent in any way possible the conservative wealthy from calling the shots, i.e. remove their ability to preserve the status quo.
If we don't take drastic measures now, we shall have failed and all the institutions of wisdom, such as the university, and any and all religions shall have failed and humanity will simply die out rather sooner than expected.
And make no mistake: the next few generations will feel the full brunt of the destruction caused by the grandiose CEO's and gurus of the Free Market.
The choices are simple. Wake up or die!
But I could be wrong.
December 07, 2011 9:39pm
TRYING TO STOP GOLBAL WARMING IS LIKE TRYING TO STOP THE HURRICANS, TORNADOS, WEATHER, SEASONS ECT, WE HAVE TO LEARN TO LIVE WITH IT. THE INERTIA OF THE EFFECT CANNOT BE STOPPED ESPECIALLY BY A FEW NATIONS WHEN THE REST OF THE WORLD IGNORES THE PROBLEM.ROD
December 07, 2011 9:38pm
TRYING TO STOP GOLBAL WARMING IS LIKE TRYING TO STOP THE HURRICANS, TORNADOS, WEATHER, SEASONS ECT, WE HAVE TO LEARN TO LIVE WITH IT. THE INERTIA OF THE EFFECT CANNOT BE STOPPED ESPECIALLY BY A FEW NATIONS WHEN THE REST OF THE WORLD IGNORES THE PROBLEM.ROD
December 07, 2011 8:35pm
love you, noam
December 07, 2011 8:34pm
love you. noam
December 07, 2011 7:10pm
Chomsky points out that political economy of a powerful monied institution dumping doubt on indisputable evidence and reasonable conclusions. Should surprise no one. How many years did the powerful Tobacco Lobby obfuscate the correlation between smoking ciggies and cancer? Clever packaging on global warming myths, tho. The Petro-lobbies link it with a belief in evolution-- which infers that believing in either one means you're going to hell!
December 07, 2011 5:40pm
Sorry, the planet is toast. We've already likely long passed the tipping point. And the biz schools keep turning out millions to expand the grossness globally.
December 07, 2011 5:40pm
Sorry, the planet is toast. We've already likely long passed the tipping point. And the biz schools keep turning out millions to expand the grossness globally.
December 07, 2011 5:39pm
It would be accelerating the global warming disaster if the USA becomes truly independent of imported fossil fuels simply by replacing it with their own indigenous sources. The USA, by virtue of of their natural fossil fuel deposits, have never had the economic pressures imposed on them to conserve and promote alternative, non-polluting energy sources. By all means they should become independent of the Middle East's oil supplies, but in a way that reduces carbon emission. The UK and much of Europe are way ahead of the USA in incentivising and promoting wind and solar energy. The USA has significantly greater potential for wind and solar energy and involving less financial sacrifice, per capita, than most of Europe. More concern by the politicians about global warming and less about independence from Arab oil supplies by a straight substitution with home grown fossil fuel should be Mr Obama's long-term strategy. It's being done in Europe but at considerable cost, per capita, because of less solar-energy availability in the northern hemisphere compared with that available in the USA. It's a sad indictment of the rulers of the Arab nations that they are unable to recognise the long-term benefits of exporting solar energy themselves.
December 07, 2011 5:24pm
What a choice Chomsky mega-alert.
If we could find a way for Wall Street to commercialize Climate Change the planet might be saved. Sadly not.
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December 07, 2011 5:08pm
norm does not tell how to increase earth magnetism hey bio [alias vvvvv] get a new paste remark
December 07, 2011 4:52pm
why does the majority keep silent? are they so exhausted? or don't they really care? and if so: how did this kind of autism evolve? were did the indifference come from? even if the majority might want something else, why are they so docile? why is there so much fear to speak up in the land of the free, home of the brave?
December 07, 2011 4:22pm
Thank you Dr. Chomsky for your sense and fortitude in continually reminding us of our suicidal inanity. I'm not being facetious. The situation concerning the environment and the concentration of power, not to mention peak oil and population growth, is so dire that I struggle to maintain my sanity. Perhaps you could kibbitz with James Fallows and provide an explanation of how the .01% justify themselves. Have corporations become our Cylons, robotic creations now turned on us?Please stay well, That I know will be in my own best interest.
December 07, 2011 4:16pm
NEW DIALOG FROM REPUBLICANS AND THE 1% .
Did you ever wonder what Republican / Wall Street big shots say in their ivory towers?
Here you go.
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“ I ran the numbers J.B., and it’s cheaper to pay out for a few dead people than build safety controls into our food processing equipment.”
“Uh, Mr. Cantor, did you say…Michael Moore is a hit, or…put out a hit on Michael Moore?” …Ohhhh…right…we’re Republicans.
“We use Walgreen’s for our women’s healthcare. They have drive-up breast exams now.”
“So J.B., is bringing back slavery still off the table, or…..?”
“The Koch brothers new how-to book, “Fun with World Domination” is a must read.”
“Cantor, Ryan, Walker, Bachman, are all actually Cybernetic Robots. Wow, you really gotta hand it to those Koch brothers!”
“These grapes from Argenovia are dirt cheap. Of course I don’t eat ‘em, are you crazy? They use their own urine as a pesticide.”
“A classroom size of 85 gives kids the “tools” to understand a kill-or-be-killed work environment.” said Governor Walker.
“What oil spill? People will love these self-igniting shrimp.”
“Get your fresh dolphin filets here!”
“Let’s cut more Firemen. People have garden hoses don’t they?”
“Let’s cut more Policemen. People can run can’t they? Hey, remember that Seinfeld episode where that fat guy got mugged? Now that…was funny!”
“So J.B., you never answered me about that slavery thing…”
“Global warming, pollution, deteriorated o-zone, blah, blah, blah. What can happen?”
“Get your fresh polar bear burgers here!”
“Nice job killing off Planned Parenthood. Sweet! Now we’ll have enough new product coming in to launch our “Buy a Baby at Wal-Mart” program.”
“We made billions each time we moved our off-shore manufacturing from America to Japan, to China, to India, and now…to Africa. Ha, ha, ha! Sure, it’s great sticking it to the Germans, British, and Italians…but we really love screwing the French!”
“Air safety, nuclear safety, food safety…blah, blah, blah. What can happen?”
“Hey boss, that’s a great idea, putting nicotine in baby pacifiers. “Start ‘em young” we always say right? Haw, hawww!”
“FEMA was too costly, but now we’ll give you earthquake victims the “tools” to be self-sufficient. Here’s a shovel. Oh, and we’ll want that back later.”
“Get your fresh snow leopard fritters here!
President (!?) Walker said today, “As a cost cutting measure, every state will only be allowed ONE air traffic control tower…but it should be really, really tall.”
“Hmm…you know J.B., I’m really warming up to this slavery thing….”
“We’re cloning chickens for KFC, making mystery meat for McDonald’s…hey, so why not Soylent Green in school lunches?
“Hey kids, get your fresh Soylent Green meat-balls here! Mmmmm…yummy…”
By V