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Plan for Popular Presidential Vote Quietly Advances

Matthew Cardinale
Inter Press Service / News Report
Published: Friday 27 January 2012
In the current system, where most states allocate all their delegates to the statewide winner, heavily Democratic states almost always give all their delegates to the Democratic nominee for president, while heavily Republican states almost always give all their delegates to the Republican nominee.

The NPV plan is to convince a sufficient number of state legislatures to change the way they allocate their delegates to giving all of their delegates to whoever receives the most votes from U.S. citizens nationwide, that is, to whoever wins the national popular vote.

NPV determined that if enough states to make up a majority of the electoral college delegates agreed to do this, the presidential candidate who receives the most votes nationwide would, by default, become president.

Over the past few years state legislatures having been doing just that, and NPV is quietly drawing close to its goal of having enough states sign on to declare victory.

NPV has been enacted by states possessing 132 electoral votes, making up 49 percent of the 270 electoral votes needed to activate it.

These states are California (55 delegates), Hawaii (four), Illinois (20), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (11), New Jersey (14), Vermont (three), and Washington (12), in addition to Washington, DC (three).

Former Minnesota House Majority Leader Laura Brod is a strong supporter of NPV.

"It hasn't quite passed in Minnesota, we've been making very good strides in that state," Brod told IPS.

"It's an issue that's extremely important to the people... in Minnesota and to two-thirds of this country currently ignored in the winner-take-all system," Brod said.

In the current system, where most states allocate all their delegates to the statewide winner, heavily Democratic states almost always give all their delegates to the Democratic nominee for president, while heavily Republican states almost always give all their delegates to the Republican nominee. The consequence of this is that the so-called "swing states", which are neither reliably Democratic nor Republican, get most of the candidates' attention.

"When I look at the states that have passed it, these states are fly- over states. There are a lot of red (Republican) states looking at this issue," Brod, who is Republican, told IPS.

"It's truly a nonpartisan issue. While Democrats and Republicans look at it for different reasons, they come to same conclusion: 35 states should not be ignored in presidential campaigns," she added.

"As a legislator, campaigns are ignoring the constituents you represent. They're not polling, not spending money in the state, they're not talking or thinking about the issues. That's why you're seeing such strong legislative support

"It kind of comes down to the fact that everybody's vote should be equal, it's pretty simple," Brod said.

Detractors argue that this plan subverts the intent of the electoral college.

"The founders specifically intended state legislators to act in best interests of their state. It's an unfettered choice, there's no parameters in the constitution, you can do it this way or that way or maybe this way. The constitution says it's the state's job to decide," Brod said in response.

Koza is delighted with the progress of the NPV plan so far. "When we started we had no idea whether anyone would sponsor or pass it. Maryland passed it in 2007. Every year, one or two states enacted it," he said.

Koza and Brod both predict that, while the NPV movement has gotten little national attention, the NPV plan will be in fact be in place by the 2016 presidential election.

Unadjusted State Exit Polls

Unadjusted State Exit Polls Indicate that Al Gore won a mini-landslide in 2000

Richard Charnin

Updated: Jan. 27, 2011

First there was the 2000 Judicial Coup and then the long-running media con that Bush really did win. Let’s take another look.

Al Gore won the unadjusted state exit polls (58,000 respondents) by 50.8-44.4%, a 6 MILLION VOTE MARGIN compared to the 540,000 recorded. There were nearly 6 MILLION UNCOUNTED votes – the great majority were Gore votes.

The data source is the Roper site:

Gore won the unadjusted exit poll in the following 11 states which all flipped to Bush:
Gore would have won the election if he won just ONE of the above.

The True Vote Model, based on 1996 and 2000 votes cast, was a close match to Gore’s exit poll share. He had a 50.0% True share assuming he had 75% of 8 million returning 1996 voters whose ballots were uncounted and 75% of 6 million uncounted votes in 2000.

Bush won Florida by 537 votes. The recount was aborted in a 5-4 Supreme Court decision. But it was not even close. There were 185,000 uncounted ballots: 110,000 were over-punched and 75,000 under-punched. And thousands of butterfly ballots were mistakenly marked for Buchanan in heavily Democratic Palm Beach County.

According to investigative reporter Greg Palast:
Here’s how to estimate the effect of spoilage on the election outcome. For fun, let’s take Florida 2000. We know from comparison of census tracts to precincts that 54% of the 179,855 ballots “spoiled” were cast by African-American voters, that is, 97,000 of the total.

Every poll put the Black vote in Florida for Al Gore at over 90%. Reasonably assuming “spoiled” ballots matched the typical racial preferences, Gore lost more than 87,000 votes in the spoilage pile. Less than 10% of the African-American population voted for Mr. Bush, i.e. Bush lost no more than 10,000 votes to spoilage. The net effect: Gore had a plurality of at least 77,000 within the uncounted ballots cast by Black citizens.

Note that Palast’s estimate of spoiled ballots does not include thousands of absentee, provisional or stuffed ballots. Or the unknown number of Gore votes dropped or switched to Bush in Cyberspace.

Gore won the unadjusted Florida exit poll (1816 respondents) by 53.4-43.6%. The margin of error was 3.0% (including a 30% cluster effect). Based on these numbers, there is a 97.5% probability that Gore won Florida by a minimum of 200,000 votes.

Florida was not unique. The 9.8% margin discrepancy was exceeded in 10 states:

The theft was a prologue of what was to come.

Al Gore did not win by the

Al Gore did not win by the 540,000 recorded votes. He won by 5-7 million True Votes. Here is the evidence.

To author of article: nowhere

To author of article: nowhere do you reference what "NVP" is! Please tell me so I can make sense of this and look into the workings of this movement, which I do support. In fact, I want to ensure that Wisconsin is one such state. 8-)>

I don't support the NVP plan.

I don't support the NVP plan. It's a gimmick. Instead, under Article V of the U.S. Constitution, the House and Senate should by 2/3 vote propose and by 3/4 of the state ratify a constitutional amendment abolishing the Electoral College and in its place provide for the direct election of the president and vice president.

Deleted and resubmitted.

Deleted and resubmitted.

It's nonsense about what the

It's nonsense about what the founding fathers wanted. In fact, they relied upon the electoral college because of the rural nature of our emerging country at that time. Now, votes are tallied via computer and reported almost instantly nationwide. In truth, politicians want to hang on to the electoral college for purely political/self-serving reasons.

Thanks, Cindy. So true. We

Thanks, Cindy. So true. We must never let that be forgotten.

One correction please: The

One correction please: The trailer for this piece states: "Indeed, a majority of U.S. citizens elected Al Gore to be president in 2000, but because the U.S. elects its presidents by way of a convoluted system called the electoral college, George W. Bush was declared the winner that year instead." The main reason -- other than the Supreme Court seizing control -- that Bush was installed as president is that the election in Florida was rigged. Attorney General Katherine Harris, aided and abetted by Governor Jeb Bush, engaged in deliberate voter suppression that robbed Al Gore of the Presidency, at great cost to the nation and the world. Greg Palast documents all this and more in The Best Democracy Money Can Buy.

Election day should be a

Election day should be a holiday to encourage participation.

We should determine the winner through the National Popular Vote determined by counting paper ballots. You know, like in a democracy.

The nation has never

The nation has never recovered from that unpunished act of treason.

I think most of us would agree, that the supreme court Bush v Gore decision changed the nation forever, and not for the better.

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