Joe Conason
NationofChange / Op-Ed
Published: Wednesday 15 August 2012
Ryan’s version is updated slightly, claiming that if Congress removes enough loopholes and tax expenditures, the resulting spurt of growth will reach 5 percent, 10 percent or even more.

Ryan’s Hope: Voodoo Economics Still Isn’t a Plan

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By naming Paul Ryan as the Republican vice presidential nominee, Mitt Romney has endorsed what used to be known as "voodoo economics" — and restored that special brand of Republican superstition to the center of national debate.

To take Ryan seriously, as all too many pundits and politicians insist we must, requires everyone to behave as if the plans he produced as House Budget Committee chairman represent a meaningful effort to improve the nation's fiscal future. Sooner or later, however, real analysts will scrutinize the Ryan budget using honest math instead of humbug and magic.

In fact, they already have done so — and that is where the myth of Ryan as a serious, scrupulous and bold reformer begins to disintegrate.

As close observers know, the Wisconsin congressman wants to cut taxes for the wealthiest Americans even more sharply than George W. Bush, whose tax policies caused the bulk of the deficits that provoke so much righteous anger among Republicans like Ryan today. In Ryan's budget, his tax cuts leave an enormous revenue gap, even with the absurdly destructive spending cuts he also proposes.

But according to Ryan, we need not worry that his plan will increase fiscal deficits as well as the deficits it will assuredly worsen in infrastructure, education, health care, environmental quality, consumer protection and scientific research. He says that his tax cuts, which naturally favor the wealthiest Americans, will pay for themselves by creating a huge, rapid spurt of economic growth — which will result in higher tax revenues to cover the deficit.

Where have we heard this before? There was the original Reagan version, and then later the Bush version, which relied on a gimmick called "dynamic scoring" to create the same fake equation. Ryan's version is updated slightly, claiming that if Congress removes enough loopholes and tax expenditures, the resulting spurt of growth will reach 5 percent, 10 percent or even more.

Let us turn now to the respected professionals at the Congressional Budget Office and the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, who are too polite to simply laugh at Ryan. They took him seriously enough to examine his assertions with care, only to find that the research he cites doesn't support his assumptions — and that most economists still don't buy his theories. They also noticed that Ryan never specifies which loopholes and expenditures he expects to end. That must be why Romney, who has offered similarly foggy plans for tax reform, feels Ryan is such a kindred spirit.

When voters hear that Ryan is a bold, responsible figure determined to reduce the fiscal overhang that threatens future generations, they should know that his budgets don't balance — at least not any time before 2040. And that's because he is pursuing the same agenda as George W. Bush did — which will produce still more ruinous exults if he succeeds.

No fear, however, because Ryan happily tells us that his tax cuts will stimulate so much economic growth so rapidly that fresh revenues will fill the gaps. Yes! Cutting taxes will actually increase tax revenues.

Everyone in Washington certainly knows where we heard that before. That argument first appeared when Ronald Reagan was president, then disappeared when he was forced to raise taxes in a vain attempt to cover the vast deficits his policies spawned. The same argument reappeared in the guise of "dynamic scoring" to justify the Bush tax cuts, with consequences that continue to cripple the nation.

Voodoo economics, as the senior (and smarter) Bush so memorably termed this belief system, does not work. But Ryan evidently believes in it, because his budget depends heavily on that old voodoo to achieve balance. He claims that closing loopholes and reducing tax expenditures will cover the revenue losses.

Copyright Creators.com


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ABOUT Joe Conason

Joe Conason has written his popular political column for The New York Observer since 1992. He served as the Manhattan Weekly’s executive editor from 1992 to 1997. Since 1998, he has also written a column that is among the most widely read features on Salon.com. Conason is also a senior fellow at The Nation Institute.

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10 comments on "Ryan’s Hope: Voodoo Economics Still Isn’t a Plan"

jon02794

August 15, 2012 5:18pm

TeaBaggers: Once you have drowned the government in the bathtub, what are you going to do? Survival of the Richest? 99% Die Off??
Lots of real estate to go around. Go chop down a tree.

luxartisan

August 15, 2012 4:26pm

Let's face it...he's the governor of Wisconsin - the poster child of privatization. That should tell you how much he cares about the little guy. Now I know some of you are union-haters, but pay attention... love 'em or hate 'em, unions represent grassroots public group clout - freedom of assembly in the flesh (so to speak) something the GOP, the Teabaggers and many corporations abhor. They want subservient, dependent and (most of all) quiet citizens who don't interrupt their cannibalization of America.

Sunflowerbio

August 15, 2012 4:07pm

The logic of trickle down "laughter" economics is to eliminate taxes altogether, then the government will have unlimited income to what? spend on wars of choice.

jon02794

August 15, 2012 5:14pm

The Sum of Economy as Tax Revenue Goes to Zero Equals Bankruptcy.

Works for unemployed persons.
Works for unemployed households.
Works for Towns.
Works for Cities.
Works for States.
Works for Countries.
Will work for the Planet.

oldhat

August 15, 2012 3:19pm

joe another work of fiction like the ones you wrote about bush and clinton yes democrat plan is great have medicare go broke [2015-2018] and that will save soc sec from going broke in 2030 because all the old people will die off

Factkneader

August 15, 2012 6:56pm

Obviously you failed to take advantage of government paid for public education where you might have learned the use of upper case and punctuation . The lack of these niceties in your contributions reflect the depth of your comprehension of the objectives of those who feed you the codswallop you so eagerly devour. And yes, the old people Will Die Off if they are subjected to GopCare. How long will it be before You are and old person unable to afford desperately needed medication in order for the Wealth Insurance industry to make their profits and pay their CEOs multimillion dollar incomes ( for doing What? Certainly not rocket science).

mike morell

August 15, 2012 12:43pm

Romney/Ryan's plan: cancel your Medicare, reduce your Social Security check, no more COLAs, eliminate the EPA, the SEC, the Department of Education, the banking commission, food stamps, Medicaid, Student Aid, the Post Office, Health Care and dozens others; lay off police, firemen, teachers, park rangers, using the savings to lower the Deficits and pay off the Debt? Hell no! For deep tax cuts to themselves and the Romney-likes. They'll shaft the nation to create more millionaires. The sane will keep Obama.

Factkneader

August 15, 2012 11:16pm

You put it in a nutshell Mike, but the nuts will never acknowledge it. Gops are unable to see such things as they suffer in tremendous numbers from COAC -- Cranial Occlusion of the Ascending Colon.

Factkneader

August 15, 2012 12:28pm

Don't trouble yourself about affording college for your children. Teach them to doff their hats and look at the ground as the new Royals roll by. The peasant minds muck-fed by Fux News are dragging us back to the Good Old Days of feudalism as their masters-to-be chuckle in contempt while they close the net with their irrational demagoguery. Although "Obamacare" writhes thru a couple thousand pages to ward off the army of lobbyists and secure the barest minimum of support from the government owners, it is still vastly superior to the horrors of GopCare -- but then peasants are immanently expendable.

Ron in NM

August 15, 2012 11:12am

Way to go, Paul! Nothing like the old "trickle-down" myth, eh? But even the short-memoried American voters may not fall for it these days.

But then, it depends on how hard Faux-News and talk-radio push it, and all those billionaires anonymously supporting idiots like you.