Solar Power Much Cheaper to Produce Than Most Analysts Realize, Study Finds

Joe Romm
ThinkProgress / Research Analysis
Published: Sunday 11 December 2011
According to Dr. Pearce, the real cost in 2011 is under $1 per watt for solar panels purchased in bulk on the global market
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The public is being kept in the dark about the viability of solar photovoltaic energy, according to a study conducted at Queen’s University.

“Many analysts project a higher cost for solar photovoltaic energy because they don’t consider recent technological advancements and price reductions,” says [co-author] Joshua Pearce, Adjunct Professor, Department of Mechanical and Materials Engineering. “Older models for determining solar photovoltaic energy costs are too conservative.”

Dr. Pearce believes solar photovoltaic systems are near the “tipping point” where they can produce energy for about the same price other traditional sources of energy.

That’s the news release for a new journal article, “A review of solar photovoltaic levelized cost of electricity” (subs. req’d).  The analysis concludes:

Given the state of the art in the technology and favourable financing terms it is clear that PV has already obtained grid parity in specific locations and as installed costs continue to decline, grid electricity prices continue to escalate, and industry experience increases, PV will become an increasingly economically advantageous source of electricity over expanding geographical regions.

That argument is one Climate Progress and others have been making for a while (see ‘Ferocious Cost Reductions’ Make Solar PV Competitive and Utility CEO on Solar: In “3 to 5 Years You’ll Be Able to Get Power Cheaper from the Roof of Your House Than From the Grid”.)

Here’s more for the news release (plus some more must-have CP charts):

Analysts look at many variables to determine the cost of solar photovoltaic systems for consumers, including installation and maintenance costs, finance charges, the system’s life expectancy, and the amount of electricity it generates.

Dr. Pearce says some studies don’t consider the 70 per cent reduction in the cost of solar panels since 2009 . Furthermore, he says research now shows the productivity of top-of-the-line solar panels only drops between 0.1 and 0.2 percent annually, which is much less than the one per cent used in many cost analyses.

Equipment costs are determined based on dollars per watt of electricity produced. One 2010 study estimated this cost at $7.61, while a 2003 study set the amount at $4.16. According to Dr. Pearce, the real cost in 2011 is under $1 per watt for solar panels purchased in bulk on the global market, though he says system and installation costs vary widely.

Solar is ready for its close up now.

For more, see Anatomy of a Solar PV System: How to Continue “Ferocious Cost Reductions” for Solar Electricity:

(Chart from Emanuel Sachs of MIT. Note: Even this data is already two years old.)

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ABOUT Joe Romm

Joe Romm is a Fellow at American Progress and is the editor of Climate Progress, which New York Times columnist Tom Friedman called "the indispensable blog" and Time magazine named one of the 25 “Best Blogs of 2010.″ In 2009, Rolling Stone put Romm #88 on its list of 100 “people who are reinventing America.” Time named him a “Hero of the Environment″ and “The Web’s most influential climate-change blogger.” Romm was acting assistant secretary of energy for energy efficiency and renewable energy in 1997, where he oversaw $1 billion in R&D, demonstration, and deployment of low-carbon technology. He is a Senior Fellow at American Progress and holds a Ph.D. in physics from MIT.

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11 comments on "Solar Power Much Cheaper to Produce Than Most Analysts Realize, Study Finds"

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Jeff1885

January 02, 2012 11:16pm

I still wonder how solar will replace our current energy supply....wind and solar are at best less than 40% reliable because first of all the sun just doesn't shine 24-7 and the wind doesn't always blow within the requirements of windmills, sometimes it blows too hard sometimes it doesn't blow hard enough. Oh and what about that battery back up that some are using to supplement solar?? That thing is loaded with toxins! We are making progress and it's good to see information like this but I wish the media wouldn't try to tell you its the answer when it isn't yet. We need to think about the big picture and decide am I willing to live without electricity? If the answer is yes then believe everything you read about how solar and wind are the solutions, but in the mean time I am going to reduce my dependency on electricity so those coal, natural gas and nuke plants don't have to run quite so much.

Andree

December 19, 2011 11:52am

By the way, there is some trouble with the font you are using. Seem like the explorer browser is not supporting the text font. Second time I succeeded, but now again not. Advertisements and comments are shown OK.

Andree

December 19, 2011 11:50am

Thanks, solar is great, but you may also want to check E-cat http://www.nyteknik.se/nyheter/energi_miljo/energi/article3284823.eceFuture looks great. Just a little bit of effort still. And good attitude.

Stella Jane

December 13, 2011 7:13pm

Hi Joe this is such a great graph and provides much need viewpoint. At a personal level, I've been calling my electric company and suggesting that they give SENIORS who live independently solar panels at cost, allowing others to donate as they do already for "green" energy. Then the "cost" is spread out over xx years at a reasonable rate considering the actual individual's income. The electric company then has the residence equipped with solar. They get to service it and charge any future residents, because it is THEIR equipment.
This plan above would made it turn over a LOT faster. WISH I had it NOW! living on social security 630. month, and electric bill of $200. If I did not raise half my food all these years I would be seriously hard up.
Would you please contact me? I'd like to have another conversation at least the beginning, in private. Peace n planting stellajane at gardener dot com

toronnie

December 13, 2011 10:43am

You guys badly need an editor. The story is difficult to read due to all the grammatical errors.

pitch1934

December 12, 2011 6:19pm

Does the tipping point of solar energy costs include the huge savings when we no longer rely on fossil fuels, thereby reducing their prices. Also, there will be less air pollution thus less medical cost for everyone.

oldhat

December 12, 2011 11:55am

still cost more someday it might not

Smallbear

December 12, 2011 5:56pm

Reply to OldHat:

Wrong! It actually costs less. It hasn't happened yet due to lobbyists with pockets full of cash. No other reason than that.

Rufus-Jenny Triplett

December 11, 2011 5:29pm

What is the hold up? Would that be Congress?

Smallbear

December 12, 2011 5:55pm

Reply to Rufus-Jenny Triplett:

It's all that oil and coal money being thrown at Congress.