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Dean Baker
Published: Tuesday 3 July 2012
“However because the folks in Washington are so dependent on Wall Street money, it is more likely that they will be looking to target the benefits of people struggling to get by on their $1,100 a month Social Security checks.”

A Wall Street Gambling Tax: The Remedy to Inequality

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As the presidential election builds up steam, the Washington elites in both parties are actively scheming to find ways to cut Social Security and Medicare benefits for retired workers. The media have widely reported on efforts to slip through a version of the deficit reduction plan developed by Morgan Stanley director Erskine Bowles and former senator Alan Simpson. Since the vast majority of voters across the political spectrum reject cuts to these programs, the Washington insiders hope to spring this one on us after the election, when the public will have no say.

That is the sort of anti-democratic behavior we expect from elites who naturally want to protect their own interests. Of course the rest of us are more concerned about the well-being of the country as a whole rather than the preserving the wealth of the richest 1 percent.

For the 99 percent there are much better ways of dealing with whatever deficit problems may arise down the road. Most obviously, insofar as we need more revenue we can look to tax the sort of financial speculation through which the Wall Street gang makes its fortunes. A very small tax on trades of stocks, options, credit default swaps and other derivative instruments could raise a vast amount of money.

The Joint Tax Committee of Congress estimated that a tax of just 0.03 percent on each trade, as proposed by Senator Tom Harkin and Representative Peter DeFazio, would raise more than $350 billion over the first nine years that it is place. This is real money. It is an order of magnitude larger than the measures that have been suggested to go after the wealthy, such as President Obama’s bank tax or most versions of the Buffet Rule.

A somewhat higher rate, such as the 0.5 percent rate charged in the United Kingdom, could raise considerably more revenue. The U.K. raises the equivalent (relative to the size of its economy) of $30-$40 billion a year just by taxing stock trades. Estimates for the U.S. suggest that a broadly based tax that is scaled appropriately for the asset traded could raise more than $1.5 trillion in the United States over the course of a decade.

The great thing about this sort of tax is that it would be born almost exclusively by the Wall Street crew. There is considerable research that shows that most people will respond to the increase in trading costs by simply trading less. For example, if you have a 401(k) where 40 percent of the stock turns over every year, if the transactions costs double due to the tax, then most people would respond by simply cutting their trading in half to 20 percent.

The net effect for the 401(k) holder is a wash. She pays twice as much per trade, but does half the trading, meaning that total trading costs are unchanged.

The people for whom it is not a wash is the Wall Street crew. If trading is cut in half, then their revenue is cut in half, even assuming that 100 percent of the trading costs are passed on to investors. This explains the reason that the elites in Washington, like Morgan Stanley director Erskine Bowles, are focused on cutting Social Security and Medicare rather than imposing a financial speculation tax.

A financial transactions tax is more than just an issue of fairness. It is also likely to boost economic growth by eliminating waste in the financial sector. A recent study from the Bank of International Settlements (BIS) found that a large financial sector acted as a drag on growth. It also found the industries that were hardest hit by an overgrown financial sector were those dependent on external financing and industries that had large amounts of research and development spending.

This pattern can be easily explained. The industries that are most dependent on external financing are the ones with new firms that need outside capital to support their expansion. Older more established industries rely primarily on their profits to finance investment. The BIS study essentially found that speculation in the financial sector was pulling capital away from these young and rapidly growing firms.

The slower growth in R&D intensive industries can be explained by the fact that a bloated financial sector is pulling people with advanced skills away from industries like computers, aerospace, and other technical fields. If mathematically inclined students can earn tens of millions of dollars on Wall Street then a six-figure salary developing life-saving drugs may not seem very attractive.

In short, taxing Wall Street speculation is a great way to raise whatever money might be needed to meet deficit targets. However because the folks in Washington are so dependent on Wall Street money, it is more likely that they will be looking to target the benefits of people struggling to get by on their $1,100 a month Social Security checks.



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ABOUT Dean Baker
Dean Baker is co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research in Washington, D.C. He previously worked as a senior economist at the Economic Policy Institute and an assistant professor at Bucknell University. He is the author of several books, including Plunder & Blunder: The Rise and Fall of the Bubble Economy, The Conservative Nanny State: How the Wealthy Use the Government to Stay Rich and Get Richer and The United States Since 1980. He was the editor of Getting Prices Right: The Debate Over the Consumer Price Index, which was a winner of a Choice Book Award as one of the outstanding academic books of the year. He appears frequently on TV and radio programs, including CNN, CBS News, PBS NewsHour, and National Public Radio. His blog, Beat the Press, features commentary on economic reporting. He received his B.A. from Swarthmore College and his Ph.D. in economics from the University of Michigan.

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13 comments on "A Wall Street Gambling Tax: The Remedy to Inequality"

Charles Bell

July 04, 2012 1:53am

That was nice picture of the Wall Street bull. There is also a bear. Now we need them to put up the huge PIG!!! to honor the obscenely greedy.

mevysen

July 18, 2012 12:58pm

what are derivatives and hedge funds? Gambling? Wasn't this Greenspan's idea? Have we lost our collective minds? Certainly politically we have sold our collective soul, as this government and our economic instruments have morphed into a mindless, soulless collective greed fest. Is this is what is meant by "a more perfect union" in the preamble to our foundation of governance? The Agent in the Matrix was right on when he said humans are a virus, we move into an area and multiply until we have consumed or infected every resource in sight and all we leave as a legacy is blight. What the hell happened??? The Constitution that difficult to understand? I suppose not if one actually read and followed it...

mevysen

July 18, 2012 12:47pm

why insult the PIG...???? How about Jabba the hut???? Or let us design a character of "The Ugly American"

greentopia

July 03, 2012 3:01pm

*Speculator Tax* song by Stele
http://voxerth.net/speculator-tax/

an itsy bitsy, you banker cats
it’s less than 1 percent, the speculator tax
to help the people and our planet we ask
please pay the speculator tax

stock and currency exchange markets
trade trillions every day
untaxed transactions to wit
the speculators (are) free to play

don’t tiny winy you wall street cats
it’s less than 1 percent, the speculator tax
to help our planet and the people now get jazzed
offer to pay the speculator tax

this micro tax to be fair
on the big exchange trades
would raise billions every year
to make the world better place

a teeny weeny you trading cats
the less than 1 percent speculator tax
so tell your congress person yes yes yes
I want to pay the speculator tax

so we won’t have to call it the robinhood tax
speculators help us pass the speculator tax

oldhat

July 03, 2012 2:53pm

3 tax increase starting 01/01/13 1] h c tax ,2] bho tax cut end ,3] sec reduction end 1938 tax increase killed 1937 recovery dead

Clarence Swinney

July 03, 2012 2:47pm

what say on 2013 Budget projects 900B in Deficit and 2014 at 670B

are we collecting more taxes or spending less?

Clarence Swinney

July 03, 2012 2:46pm

2011--taxed at 16.4 tax rate
Will we wise up?
Corp paid 12.1% Tax Rate.
Multi millioniares incomes taxed at 1% or less on Payroll tax
Ge gets refund on billion in profits

Is we larning?

belleville

July 03, 2012 1:00pm

How about a Tax Code similar to what our great leaders of the past used to get us out of the Great Depression. In 1938 we had 33 Tax Brackets ranging from 4% for all income up to $64,000. (which would cover over 1/2 of our population) all the way up to 79% for income over $ 79,Million. Now that is what I call "Fair & Balanced".

bladtheimpailer

July 03, 2012 11:39am

Bad idea. Why would we want to become dependant for tax dollars on derrivatives. This would be a green light for the banksters to keep their gambling games going putting the real world probably at even greater risk. The move should be to end the trading of these "weapons of mass economic destruction," and just tax and regulate the rich to help restore some sence of social economic equality. Baker keeps dancing around the issue but what we really need in this world is monetary reform of some sort to end money being used to enslave all for a money system that actually benefits all. The biggest problem is the convergence of the military financial sectors aided and abetted by the neo liberal Washington Consensus of western governments and international corporations in their quest for global hegemony and it's plans for the superfluous population to their needs, aka New World Order.

greentopia

July 03, 2012 3:09pm

I agree that we should at least ban investment funds, so here's the
*Investment Funds Yee Must Die* song I wrote that you might groove on.
http://voxerth.net/investment-funds-yee-must-die/

big stock and bond portfolios let money cheat and lie
smoke and mirrors of collective funds
hurt people and creatures, they’re no darn fun

when investment funds are dead and gone
every saver and investor will get to choose
if their money will work for the bad or the good
if their money helps the people, if the planet will win or lose

what’s your money doing?
is it making a better world, or is it making us sick?
while you’re doing nice things
for your people and your planet
are others’ using your savings and investments
to take us all down

Mutual Funds Yee Must Die
big stock and bond portfolios let money cheat and lie
smoke and mirrors of collective funds
hurt people and critters, they’re no friggen fun

when investment funds are dead and gone
more savers and investors will choose
bonds to support their country, town, schools
stocks in businesses sustainable and ethical

so elk, tree, dolphin can yet thrive / hedge
so kangaroo, hippo, butterfly can stay alive / index
so raven, shark, octopi will survive / collective
so friends and lovers can shuck and jive / mutual
investment funds yee must die http://VoxErth.net

Patricia Dixon

July 03, 2012 11:03am

Great idea, Wall St. needs to start contributing to the overall economy, rather that take and take from us the people, maybe this would initiate a move to improve laws that prohibit speculation using funds from such as Social Security and start defeating the age of casino capitalism.

NHsolarguy

July 03, 2012 11:00am

That and taxing capital gains on stocks at full tax rates would get our economy moving again. Tax money goes into government coffers where it has to get spent and put back into the economy. Spend it on useful things that help everyone, like mass transit, infrastructure, energy research and development, beefing up the grid, and energy independence.

oldhat

July 03, 2012 10:28am

so the transaction move from wall street to say singapore [ no taxes]