War or Revolution Every 75 Years. It’s Time Again.
When Charles Dickens wrote, "It was the best of times, it was the worst of times" to begin "A Tale of Two Cities," he compared the years of the French Revolution to his own "present period.” Both were wracked with inequality. But he couldn't have known that 75 years later inequality would cause the Great Depression. Or that 75 years after that, in our own present period, extreme inequality would return for a fourth time, to impact a much greater number of people. He probably didn't know that the cycles of history seem to drag the developed world into desperate times about every 75 years, and then seek relief through war or revolution.
It's that time again.
Three cycles (225 years) ago, in the years before the French Revolution, inequality was at one of its highest points ever. While it's estimated that the top 10% of the population took almost half the income, as they do today, the Gini Coefficient was between .52 and .59, higher than the current U.S. figure of .47. The French Revolution began a surge toward equality that lasted well into the 19th century.
Two cycles ago, in Dickens' day of the 1860s, European inequality was again at a nearly intolerable level. It took the second industrial revolution and the U.S. Civil War to start correcting the economic injustices.
One cycle ago was the Great Depression. The New Deal, World War 2, and the laborious process of war recovery put an end to this third period of extreme inequality.
Now, nearly 75 years after we started World War 2 production, we again feel the agony of a wealth gap expanding, like grotesquely stretched muscle, to intolerable limits. If history repeats itself, we will be part of another revolution of long-subjugated people. Indeed, it has already begun, in Europe and Canada and with the Occupy Movement.
The face of plutocracy has changed, but not the consequences. Just before the French Revolution, Paris and London were dismal places for the masses, with islands of unimaginable splendor for aristocrats, who, like the multi-millionaires of today, found it hard to relate to the commoners. Dickens portrayed it well. Exclaimed the Marquis St. Evremonde to a gathering crowd: "It is extraordinary to me that you people cannot take care of yourselves and your children. One or the other of you is forever in the way. How do I know what injury you have done to my horses?" This he said after his carriage had struck and killed a young child.
Today the two cities could be Los Angeles and Chicago, both among the ten most unequal metropolitan areas in the United States. Instead of lords and noblemen, we have CEOs and hedge fund managers. The economic injustices are fashioned in more civilized ways. Insidious ways.
Los Angeles is the biggest city in a state with a $9-16 billion budget deficit. It is facing severe cuts in education, health care, social services, and the court system. College tuition increased 50% in two years. Public schools are down to one counselor for every 800 students.
But California's deficit wouldn't exist if corporations had paid their state taxes. Apple is a prime example of nonpayment. While the company's 10% federal tax rate has been widely publicized, its 2% state payment (rather than the required 9%) is less well known. For state avoidance purposes, they claim residency in Nevada. And despite conducting most of its research and development in the United States, they channel much of their sales through Luxembourg and Ireland and the Caribbean.
What about Chicago? It has the highest sales tax in the country. Illinois cut 2012 education spending by a greater percentage than any other state. The state tax rate was just increased by 66%. Property taxes went up by about $300 per homeowner. Illinois was recently named one of the ten "Most Regressive State Tax Systems," with the third-highest "Taxes on the Poor."
Yet if just 20 large Illinois companies had paid state taxes at the required statutory rate over the past three years, an additional $7.5 billion would have come back to the state, or about half of the state's current deficit.
Just as Los Angeles loses out to technology, Chicago is victimized by finance. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), with billions of untaxed contracts worth well over a quadrillion dollars, and whose profit margin over the past three years is higher than any of the top 100 companies in the nation, demanded and received an $85 million per year tax break.
"A man grown grey in treachery...who once when it was objected, to some finance scheme of his, 'What will the people do?' - made answer, in the fire of discussion, 'The people may eat grass.'" -- Thomas Carlyle, "The French Revolution," the main source for Dickens' novel.
In our 'civilized' times people aren't being run down by noblemen or forced to eat grass. The aristocracy has learned a lot about suppressing crowds in 225 years. But they need to fear the growing revolution. They need to fear, as Dickens put it, "the remorseless sea of turbulently swaying shapes, voices of vengeance, and faces hardened in the furnaces of suffering until the touch of pity could make no mark on them."
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19 comments on "War or Revolution Every 75 Years. It’s Time Again."
June 28, 2012 1:35am
YES!! If Nutt Scumly and the Tea Klux Klan steal the election by falseifing the vote count, as they did in Florida in 2000, then YES Let the Revolution Begin!!
June 21, 2012 11:52am
It is so true that the populace under the barrage of Fox News and the propraganda machine seemed to be sleep and brainwashed- they continue to vote against their best interest- and against their social/economic status- why?? Most of Americans are too busy watchin reality tv and "dancing with the stars" to pay attention to what's goign on- in addition the right wing leverages "wedge issues such as "God, Guns and Gay, and implant moral values to distract the poor souls from realizing they are getting "swindled"-
June 17, 2012 12:34pm
If there is a revolution will it be blooddy? Or can we educate ourselves enough to take change in our own hands through the ballot box? This takes a long time.Which way do you choose? BPW
June 11, 2012 9:31pm
It is money that moves us all the army , police and politicians can all be bought off to do the noblemans will. So the only way to solve our problems is to hit the wealthy in the pocket book that is the only way they feel anything. So take houses back under eminent domain in my State the property taxes is what is holding our economy back so put people back in these houses so we get more property taxes maybe you can get more corporate taxes if your lucky for two years but the politicians will leave a loophole and they will be back at it again. The eminent domain idea is sound because you can raffle off a house and get tripple the current market value so why would the banks complain they could get more than the current market value back and they dont have to go through all the foreclosure mess just wait for the check from the state. T he key in this new world order is that the raffle process is made law for any sale of property so underwater people can sell at a profit and move before going broke. REAL estate should be sold this way from now on the banks wont like it but they seem to want the big paydays any way they dont like waiting for the mortgage to be finally paid off so dont do it. This is the only way we can recover our economy take people out of the financial mess the banks have created and create a better future.
The peaceful transition of money to the 99% can be done in thisa way and by the way bash a product once a week if you dont like shell oil dont buy from them or sony tvs or walmart just get it somewhere else.
June 11, 2012 4:59pm
in Wisconsin and elsewhere the middle 52% are demanding the the top 1% pay more and the bottom 47% get off their rear and contribute
June 11, 2012 8:38pm
Where is todays Charles Bronson -the vigilante-?? We could use one now.....
June 11, 2012 4:31pm
We have to wonder, with the Constitution we have and an elected government, how do they keep things in their favor? I've been baffled. I know that money really keeps the machine going for this new aristocracy, but how do the elite constantly get the people to vote for the very people holding them down?
It's the old divide and conquer. We've been completely divided by both sides drumming up issues that touch emotional nerves yet have no bearing on the things that really matter. They create 2 opposing points of view divided perfectly down ideological lines, then constantly bombard us with poisonous talk radio, faux news stations with mission statements to spew hatred toward the other side, and political ads that don't even have to tell the truth. Marketing works astonishingly well.
So there we have it. We all think it's just a matter of voting in our side, but then we're baffled when things don't change yet we keep playing along thinking it's eventually going to. Do revolutions happen when the oppressed finally wake up to their own insanity?
June 18, 2012 6:25pm
....how do the elite constantly get the people to vote for the very people holding them down?
Good question. Fairly simple actually. Fear. If you really want to know why Americans in particular are as schizoid as we seem to be on social and political issues, frequently voting against our own self interests, (Like "re-electing" george w. bush.), or hearing the voice of the put upon speaking in defense of accumulated wealth, talk to Madison Ave. There is only one aspect of our culture that is spending any significant sums of money on researching human behavior and it's not universities per se, (although they are the venue for much of the research and are paid for their services), it's the advertising industry. Need I say they are not exactly touting their results to god and television. It's proprietary information but we live with their calculations, predicted on their research and one of those things is our propensity to act in contradiction to common sense. The world's religions have been doing similar things for literally centuries, with various degrees of sophistication and arrived at more hit and miss, but overall successful. Today political campaigns don't have a hundred years to wait, but they don't have to. Want to know how to sell a political pig as a political super model?, Consult Frank Luntz.
June 12, 2012 12:22am
In reply to
DBDBDB444
June 11, 2012 4:31pm
"Do revolutions happen when the oppressed finally wake up to their own insanity?"
Yes.
June 11, 2012 4:13pm
The United States form of Government at one time may have been what the Founding Fathers wanted. Today the United States Government is run by various Special Interest Groups (Super PAC's and/or Corporations) who have the money to peddle their influence by buying, selling, or trading Politician's Votes or political favors while erroding our way of life. Rest assured the oligarchs have use the last 75 yrs. to prepare for war, civil unrest, and anarchy by spending the most money ever, to build it's military and police forces to maintain Law and Order in these great Unites States. They have constructed enough jails and/or prisons to incarcerate more than half the American population at any given time. In many states prisons sit vacant awating their call to duty. America has the largest prison population than any country on earth. If the American Citizen wakes up to express his outrage about the US Government or Economy there is a jail cell waiting. The News (Junk) they feed us is biased, as if they want to brain wash us. Stock up and be prepared for the unthinkable.
June 11, 2012 5:57pm
Don't forget the activist supreme court judges appointed by the bought off lackey of special interests (our congress)
June 11, 2012 3:18pm
Much of the mid American middle class is confused and frightened. People with jobs and homes desperately want to keep them and cling to the belief that things will get better soon. On the horizon they search for the guy on a white horse that speaks to their concerns with optimistic bumper stickers and sound bites, identifying the devil (liberals) and promising a better tomorrow "if only..". No revolution will occur until people realize that the promises will not be fulfilled and thing get worse for more people.
June 11, 2012 3:16pm
War? Revolution? What happened to Hope (pause, and listen for the angels) and Change? Wasn't that a concrete solution for the crisis we're in? Oh... that was some campaign bs that everyone swallowed? Well, let ol' Jim get you a different flavor of kool-aid this time around. New slogan: "Occupy This!"
June 11, 2012 2:51pm
The Occupy movement will have its say soon. The first step is for the rejection of members of the Tea Party in the coming election. Once that is done either the lobbies which hold sway over Congress will pay heed and relax thier grip or the new anti-teaparty group can legislate to remove them from the scene. We need the masses to awaken and see the damage that has been caused. They have been brainwashed too long about the American Dream. The American Dream has been confined to the 1% while a lot of the folks at the bottom of the pyramid have had only nightmares.
June 11, 2012 2:30pm
The wealthiest 1 % are not our biggest problem, it's that group of naive young that have drank the Kool Aid and support the oligarchs because they think they actually have a chance to bridge class and established private wealth and rise to the top. An unrealized dream can be a strong force as long as it remains uncontested by the wisdom of experience or until it experiences the ultimate judgment of reality !
June 11, 2012 11:43am
The Masses are Asses. The people of Wisconsin and by extension, America have spoken--- the bastards. Bad will never end, as long as naive and impressionable people are ready to be flattered and deceived.
June 11, 2012 11:15am
It is past time for change to occur, and this next election could set the stage for further steps in the direction of a more humane and sane society, or for a more savage outcome. Unfortunately, until the working class stops buying into Republican propaganda about the causes of our crisis, and looks at the facts (and history) of the corporate state clearly, we may face more violence than we need to. There are other economic models that propose greater equality, such as co-ops and worker ownership of the means of production. We need a revival of Roosevelt economic common-sense to create jobs programs so public works programs, infrastructure re-engineering, and the large mass of unemployed can again work and pay taxes. But most of all we need the corporations and the wealthy to pay their fair share as well. Otherwise, what 'good' is there in our commons? Eventually, all will suffer unless we wake up to the delusions supply side, Republican economics has crafted over the last 40 years.
June 11, 2012 10:42am
It is time. It will only get worse if we don't rise and change it. Revolution it is. It will not be nice considering the arms stashed away in America. Those at the top that think they have it made would be wise to change before they are made to. They will have something if they change voluntarily and very little to nothing if not. Unless of course they leave America.
June 11, 2012 10:10am
"Nobleman" no longer need to run us down with their carraiges. The purchased laws making it 'legal' to shoot us at will and bill us for the bullets. Eating grass is no doubt healthier than consuming most of the swill passed off as food in the supermarkets.