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Robert Reich
NationofChange / Op-Ed
Published: Wednesday 6 March 2013
Rarely before in American history have public policies so blatantly helped the most fortunate among us, so cruelly harmed the least fortunate and exposed so many average working Americans to such widespread insecurity.

Why There’s a Bull Market for Stocks and Bear Market for Workers

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Today the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose above 14,270—completely erasing its 54 percent loss between 2007 and 2009.

The stock market is basically back to where it was in 2000, while corporate earnings have doubled since then.

Yet the real median wage is now 8 percent below what it was in 2000, and unemployment remains sky-high.

Why is the stock market doing so well, while most Americans are doing so poorly? Four reasons:

First, productivity gains. Corporations have been investing in technology rather than their workers. They get tax credits and deductions for such investments; they get no such tax benefits for improving the skills of  their employees. As a result, corporations can now do more with fewer people on their payrolls. That means higher profits.

Second, high unemployment itself. Joblessness all but eliminates the bargaining power of most workers—allowing corporations to keep wages low. Public policies that might otherwise reduce unemployment—a new WPA or CCC to hire the long-term unemployed, major investments in the nation’s crumbling infrastructure—have been rejected in favor of austerity economics. This also means higher profits, at least in the short run. 

Third, globalization. Big American-based corporations have been expanding and hiring around the globe where markets are growing fastest—even while the U.S. market is lackluster. Tax policies and trade policies have encouraged them.

Finally, the Fed’s easy-money policies. They’ve pushed investors into the stock market because bond yields are so low. On Tuesday, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note was just 1.9 percent.

All of this spells widening inequality in America, because the people who invest the most in the stock market have high incomes. Those who rely most on wages have lower incomes.

Corporate profits are claiming a larger share of national income than at any time in 60 years, while the portion of total income going to employees is near its lowest since 1966. As my colleague Immanuel Saez recently found, all the economic gains between 2009 and 2011 (the last year for which data were available) went to the richest 1 percent of Americans. The bottom 99 percent has continued to lose ground.

And yet the tax code continues to give preference to capital gains over ordinary income—a huge boon to investors. The sequestration is likely to make all this worse, since it will slow the U.S. economy and keep unemployment higher than otherwise.It will also hurt the most vulnerable. Some $1.9 billion in low-income rental subsidies are being eliminated, affecting 125,000 people. Cuts to the Department of Agriculture will eliminate rental assistance for another 10,000 low-income rural people. Meanwhile, 100,000 formerly homeless Americans are likely to be removed from their current emergency shelters.

More than 3.8 million Americans receiving long-term unemployment benefits will have their monthly payments reduced by as much as 9.4 percent, and lose an average of $400 in benefits over their period of joblessness.

The Department of Education’s Title I program, which helps schools serving more than a million disadvantaged students, will be cut $715 million, and $400 million will be cut from Head Start, the preschool program for poor children. And major cuts will be made in the Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children, which provides nutrition assistance and education.

The health of an economy is not measured by the profits of corporations headquartered within it or the value of its stock market. It depends, rather, on how many of people have jobs and whether those jobs pay decent wages.

By this measure, we are a long way from economic health. Rarely before in American history have public policies so blatantly helped the most fortunate among us, so cruelly harmed the least fortunate, and exposed so many average working Americans to such widespread insecurity.

This article was originally posted on Robert Reich's blog.



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ABOUT Robert Reich

 

ROBERT B. REICH, one of the nation’s leading experts on work and the economy, is Chancellor’s Professor of Public Policy at the Goldman School of Public Policy at the University of California at Berkeley. He has served in three national administrations, most recently as secretary of labor under President Bill Clinton. Time Magazine has named him one of the ten most effective cabinet secretaries of the last century. He has written thirteen books, including his latest best-seller, “Aftershock: The Next Economy and America’s Future;” “The Work of Nations,” which has been translated into 22 languages; and his newest, an e-book, “Beyond Outrage.” His syndicated columns, television appearances, and public radio commentaries reach millions of people each week. He is also a founding editor of the American Prospect magazine, and Chairman of the citizen’s group Common Cause. His widely-read blog can be found at www.robertreich.org.

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10 comments on "Why There’s a Bull Market for Stocks and Bear Market for Workers"

Norman123

March 06, 2013 8:15pm

We live in dual economy: one for the common people, one for the rich and famous (dual food system: whole food for the well off, GMO and hormone-laden food for the working poor). The rich and famous fuel the stock market. The workers have progressively become redundant to the corporate chiefs as they replaced many souls with robots and shifted jobs to cheaper "slave" labor overseas. Had it not been for food stamps and public housing, we would have soup lines and armies of homeless on the streets demanding bread and work. Now most of the unemployed, rot away invisibly while the rich and famous eat their share and gamble with stocks....

JoeWeinstein

March 06, 2013 7:19pm

This time I agree with just about everything Reich has to say. But, since he features the Dow-Jones index, I offer just one small carp: this index is not an unbiased measure of stock performance, even of the categories of companies that it purports to represent. Over the long-run the Dow is biased upward. That's because every so often the Dow's selected list drops its own losers (for allegedly having become less relevant to the current economy) and adds in up-n-coming obvious winners (for allegedly becoming more relevant to the current economy). Thus, it has dropped railroads in favor of infotech companies.

Noblestar

March 06, 2013 6:49pm

I agree with Reich's thesis that government policy (e.g., capital gains preferential treatment) overwhelmingly favors corporations and high income individuals. However, I believe that he is incorrect in stating that corporations "get no such tax benefits for improving the skills of their employees." Under the Internal Revenue Code, corporations can deduce reasonable business expenses, including employee training. As a final note, the real importance of the article -- in my opinion -- is the inference that Republican members of Congress are being obstructionists in order to preserve the tax benefits for their big donor contributors. The pie is only so big -- it's either preserve entitlements or corporate welfare, but not both. Or both have to give back (sacrifice) if we are going to get through this economic downturn.

wildthang

March 06, 2013 5:40pm

Productivity is up due to not replacing employees or replacing them with less qualified and trained ones. The duo jobbers and eht less trained ones have to see the criting on the wall and they may just perform their jobs accordingly. In fact the entire workforce is seein it and it is not a pretty sight.Meanwhile we continue to be gouged for products off-shored and all the gains going to profits and management bennies and salaries. The consequence is a system hanging by a thread I would guestimate. It kind of runs parallel to our deteriorating infrastructure.
It is like our credibility in wars a preditory system reaps its own rewards.

RealityBites

March 06, 2013 2:50pm

Americans need to smarten up, the only way to fix a completely corrupt system is by adopting a new national holiday...... Bastille day. The moment the parasites are separated from their head the economy bounces back.

Randy

March 06, 2013 2:21pm

Ever since Organized Crime took over total control of the US House ov Non-Representitves they have attacked workers, especally UNION workers. We need to wake up the voters to remove them and get the Dems back in to turn around this disasterous trend before America becomes a third world slum.

AndymAndym

March 06, 2013 4:46pm

The Dems are corrupt, too.

belleville

March 06, 2013 9:23pm

Dems Don't Hold a Candle to the Anti-Union, Anti-American Terrorist Republican Party!!!

Kimberly Crail

March 06, 2013 12:04pm

If you would create some pie charts and graphics of the information, that would have more impact than all these words! Come on, you are an economist! Chart the problem! People get pictures.

AndymAndym

March 06, 2013 11:52am

I've been waiting for someone to address this! It drives me nuts hearing the rosy stock quotes every evening as if our problems are over. The stock market has always been rigged to favor the wealthy.