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John Nichols
NationofChange / Op-Ed
Published: Sunday 29 January 2012
“If you add up all the caucus and primary votes that have been cast so far for Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Rick Santorum, the former Rick Perry, the former Jon Huntsman, the former Michele Bachmann and the eternal Buddy Roemer, they still have not attracted as much support as has the drive to recall Scott Walker.”

Wisconsin Recall Drive More Popular Than GOP Presidential Candidates - Combined

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America is almost four weeks into the voting stage of the Republican presidential race. The candidates are debating. The media is covering the competition 24/7, and in such minute detail that Rick Perry’s quitting of the contest was treated as news. And Republicans in three states have caucused and voted in numbers that party leaders, pundits and the talk-radio amen corner tell us are significant.

Yet at the same time, those same party leaders, pundits and radio talkers continue to dismiss the movement to recall Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker as a false construct with little real hope of prevailing.

Fair enough, let’s compare.

Since January 3, Republican caucuses have been held in Iowa (with an electorate of 2,231,589), and Republican primaries have been held in New Hampshire (electorate of 998,799) and South Carolina (electorate of 3,385,224).

That adds up to a total electorate of 6,615,612 in the trio of first- (and second- and third-) in-the-nation states.

Turnout for the Iowa caucuses is now pegged at 121,479. Turnout in the New Hampshire primary was 248,448. Turnout in the South Carolina primary was 601,166.

That adds up to a total turnout of 971,093, or about 14.5 percent of the possible voters in the three states.

And what of Wisconsin?

The state has an electorate of 4,170,501.

The United Wisconsin petition drive to recall anti-labor Governor Scott Walker collected significantly more than 1 million signatures.

Rounding to a million, that’s about 23.9 percent of the possible voters in the state.

So here’s what we know:

1. If you add up all the caucus and primary votes that have been cast so far for Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Rick Santorum, the former Rick Perry, the former Jon Huntsman, the former Michele Bachmann and the eternal Buddy Roemer, they still have not attracted as much support as has the drive to recall Scott Walker.

2. If you compare the percentage of the electorate in the three caucus and primary states that has expressed support for all the Republicans who would be president, it is dramatically lower than the percentage of the Wisconsin electorate that wants to recall Scott Walker.

3. If you add the total number of names on petitions filed January 17 to recall other Republicans in Wisconsin—Lt. Gov. Rebecca Kleefisch, state Senate majority leader Scott Fitzgerald and three of Fitzgerald’s colleagues—the total number of signatures filed in support of the recall of Walker and his cronies is close to 1,940,000. That figure is just about double the number of votes cast in all the Republican presidential contests for all the Republican presidential candidates so far this year.

Conclusion: if the Republican presidential race is a serious endeavor, the Wisconsin drive to recall Scott Walker, Rebecca Kleefisch, Scott Fitzgerald and their compatriots is doubly serious. And far, far more popular with the available electorate.

This story originally appeared in The Nation.
Copyright © The Nation – distributed by Agence Global.
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ABOUT John Nichols

John Nichols, a pioneering political blogger, has written the Beat since 1999. His posts have been circulated internationally, quoted in numerous books and mentioned in debates on the floor of Congress. 

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10 comments on "Wisconsin Recall Drive More Popular Than GOP Presidential Candidates - Combined"

Diggitt

January 29, 2012 9:17pm

The fact of the Walker recall total is remarkable. But isn't it a little ingenuous to claim any significance to the total number of signatures on all six petitions? Unless Wisconsin's laws about petitions are different from most states, the same people carried all the petitions--against Walker and against the five other Republicans--and just about the same people signed them. It muddies the real significance of the achievement and makes us look manipulative.

Dodger

January 29, 2012 8:04pm

Nichols is terrific, the Wisconson recall effort is awesome, and money in politics sucks. But guess what -- the Dems have raised more money than the Repugnicans so far. Lets keep up the good work and elect a congress that can fix the broken system.

Brantwood's picture
Brantwood

January 29, 2012 6:15pm

Just one of many people deeply encouraged by what is going on in Wisconsin - if the MSM ever got around to reporting this stuff, the country would really start to rock!

M Munn

January 29, 2012 5:27pm

14% is a fair showing considering less than 50% of eligible voters vote

one can assume there generally are more dems than GOP, say 26% dem, 24% GOP

the results show at least half of all regular state GOP voters are participating in the caucus/primary

these are very good numbers

- how is the turnout in your area for caucuses?

BUT, I agree, Wisconsin's Recall is AWESOME

Elizabeth Johns...

January 29, 2012 3:19pm

Thanks to my favorite reporter and to all Wisconsinites.

Richard Orton

January 29, 2012 1:27pm

"...we must hammer a thousand nails into the coffin of money in politics."

Best quote I've heard in a long time. I second those thoughts.

Ronni85

January 29, 2012 12:47pm

WE, the People have an election coming up this year - we need to back up Wisconsinites, and honor ourselves by throwing the GOP and Blue Dog Dems out of everything they are in.
Its a shame there is no "middle of the road" anymore. We really need people from both sides to work together. The only single-minded actions that should be allowed, is what is REALLY best for this country. No one party has that answer. The problem is, there are only extremists running for any of the offices.

American Muse

January 29, 2012 12:23pm

Scott Walker is anti-people. Shown him the door!

paulrevere

January 29, 2012 12:09pm

John, thank you for your efforts!! The MSM is absolutely audited and edited for information and points of view that might reveal the gapping flaws of power and greed controlled machinations brought on by the establishment.
I so often wax stunned at how the talking heads, writers and opinionists make facile, biased, uninformed and so frequently land of opposites statements. I find myself muttering epithets that are not my normal frustration fall back.
The tail chase WETHEPEOPLE are in is one of twisted information, MSM propaganda, impotent and manipulated voting venues, fully controlled MSM, incredible amounts of lucre flowing to political and social decision makers and staggering sums of the treasury being spent by DOD/NSA/CIA on operations to continue the ruse.
We must get the vote and exit polls into the hands of WETHEPEOPLE and contingently we must hammer a thousand nails into the coffin of money in politics.
Peace...

M.C. Henry.

January 29, 2012 12:09pm

Keep up the fight Wisconsinites and win one for the people!