The views expressed in the blog post are the personal opinions of Norvergence LLC Author George Stacey.
In 2015, the U.S. President Donald Trump withdrew the country from the Iran Nuclear Deal. The agreement offered some sanction reliefs to Iran in exchange for limits to its extensive nuclear programs.
Jon Taylor, who teaches foreign policy analysis at the University of Texas at San Antonio, talked about this on KSAT news.
“I get what Trump was doing. However, if you’re going to try to prevent Iran from getting the bomb, you might want to actually stay on, stay in the negotiating room, and stay at the table. We didn’t do that.”
Now, in 2019, things get worst.
The U.S. killing of Soleimaini, a high-ranking Iraqi official left the rest of the world in the greatest panic yet- as there are 3 major concerns now:
- Civil War in Iraq
- A Threat to Dubai
- World War 3
The team Norvergence has tried to explain every above possibility by doing an in-depth analysis.
Civil War in Iraq?
Experts at different universities, governments believe that Iran’s leaders are not under any illusion and are completely clear about the fact that the country can’t afford a war with the superpower United States of America.
On the other hand, Iraq may face a real problem.
There is a lot of anti-Iranian sentiment in the country and at the same time, the U.S. is also facing a pandemonium in Iraq.
Let’s recall 2019; In July last year, Israel struck Iranian targets in Iraq and in September it was Hezbollah, Iran’s well-wisher in Lebanon.
Iraq seems to be a battleground between superpowers U.S. and Israel with the country trying to dominate the Middle East, “Iran”.
A Threat to Dubai?
On January 7th, Iran has threatened to unleash a series of attacks in Dubai, Haifa, Israel, and the UAE. NBC News Tehran bureau Chief Ali Arouzi tweeted:
Iran is warning that if there is retaliation for the two waves of attacks they launched their 3rd wave will destroy Dubai and Haifa.
To this tweet, NBC foreign chief correspondent Richard Engel responded:
- Iran making threats of mass escalation.
- To attack more bases in Iraq.
- To unleash Hezbollah.
- To unleash Shiite militias in Iraq.
- To attack Israel and Dubai.
Making it clear it is ready for a [widespread] campaign if this escalates further with a U.S. response.
After this statement from Iran went viral, many embassies have issued warnings or updates to their travel advice.
The U.K. foreign office advice states: “Following the death of Iranian General Qassem Suleimani in a U.S. strike in Baghdad on 3 January, the incident has led to increased tensions in the region.
There is a possibility of an increased threat against western interests and the security situation could worsen with little warning. You should remain vigilant and keep up to date with the latest developments.”
However, the UAE ministry of foreign affairs said: Recent developments will not affect citizens, residents, or visitors to the UAE”. All sectors across the country continue to operate as normal.
But still, Norvergence believes that UAE should adopt all the safety measures as at this moment, no one knows what Iran is planning.
Because of the social media and 24/7 news cycle, the rumors related to World War 3 are at an all-time high. But it’s actually happening, forget about it?
Iran will never even try to indulge in a one-on-one war with the United States. A journalist with Al Jazeera based in Doha who was a former global affair and indigenous analyst wrote: “Its population is a quarter the size of America’s, its economy is barely 2 percent as large. Its outdated weapons are no match for the most powerful military force the world has ever known.